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Análisis de control sintético al impacto doméstico de la restricción a la exportación de carne en Bolivia

Author

Listed:
  • Burgoa Terceros, Rodrigo

    (Docente de la Universidad Católica Boliviana “San Pablo”.)

  • Herrera Jiménez, Alejandro

    (Docente de la Universidad Católica Boliviana “San Pablo” e Investigador Junior de la Fundación INESAD.)

Abstract

Este documento analiza el impacto de la política de restricción a las exportaciones de carne bovina establecida en Bolivia en 2008, a consecuencia de los efectos adversos del fenómeno de ‘La Niña’, sobre la oferta doméstica del mismo producto alimenticio. Para realizar nuestra estimación aplicamos el método de control sintético, con un panel de datos conformado por 128 países entre 1995 y 2013, incluido Bolivia, con información macroeconómica, comercial, de infraestructura y mediterraneidad, con el fin de construir un contrafactual ‘sintético’ para comparación con el país que permita aproximar el impacto de dicha política sobre los resultados del mercado interno del producto en cuestión. Empíricamente y en línea con similares estudios, encontramos que la implementación de esta política comercial restrictiva fue contraproducente a su objetivo de reabastecimiento paulatino del mercado doméstico de carne bovina. Argumentamos que la política de restricción a la exportación implicó un desincentivo para los productores ganaderos, ralentizando la recuperación de su actividad productiva posterior a los eventos climáticos adversos que motivaron su implementación.

Suggested Citation

  • Burgoa Terceros, Rodrigo & Herrera Jiménez, Alejandro, 2017. "Análisis de control sintético al impacto doméstico de la restricción a la exportación de carne en Bolivia," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 27, pages 77-100, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:revlde:1946
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Control sintético; restricción a las exportaciones; producción de res; oferta doméstica.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy
    • Q37 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Issues in International Trade

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