Déplacements domicile-travail en Île-de-France et choix individuels du mode de transport
We develop in this paper a dichotomous discrete choice model for the analysis of home to work trips in the French Parisian region. The two modes of transportation are private motorized vehicle and public transportation. We analyse indirect effects coming from the other choices associated with the demand for travel. We also take into account random tastes of travellers. A mixed Logit model is formulated. Identification of the parameters and estimation by maximization of the simulated likelihood function are discussed. The results of the application are realistic and intuitive: tastes for travel attributes are heterogeneous among the population, so are the effects of their socioeconomic variables, the correlation of the value of time with the level of road congestion is positive and the IIA axiom does not hold. Nous étudions dans cet article le choix du mode de transport pour un déplacement domicile-travail au sein de la région Île-de-France dans un ensemble à deux modalités : véhicule particulier ou transports en commun. Nous modélisons la présence d’effets indirects liés aux autres dimensions de la demande de transport et l’existence d’hétérogénéité des goûts dans la population observée. Nous spécifions, identifions et estimons par la méthode du maximum de vraisemblance simulée un modèle Logit à paramètres aléatoires. Les résultats sont nombreux et réalistes : dispersion des goûts concernant les attributs de transports et les variables socio-économiques, corrélation positive entre valeur du temps et niveau de la congestion, rejet de l’axiome IIA.
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Volume (Year): 81 (2005)
Issue (Month): 3 (Septembre)
Pages: 485-520
| Handle: | RePEc:ris:actuec:v:81:y:2005:i:3:p:485-520 |
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