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Conjugalité et fécondité des femmes canadiennes : un modèle dynamique estimé à l’aide d’une série de coupes transversales

Listed author(s):
  • Felteau, Claude

    (Département des sciences économiques, Université du Québec à Montréal)

  • Lefebvre, Pierre

    (Département des sciences économiques, Université du Québec à Montréal)

  • Merrigan, Philip

    (Département des sciences économiques, Université du Québec à Montréal)

  • Brouillette, Liliane

    (Centre de recherche sur l’emploi et les fluctuations économiques, Université du Québec à Montréal)

In labor economics, an increasing number of assertions are set out in dynamic terms. Ideally, panel data — or, at least, retrospective data — must be used to test these assertions. However, recent studies have shown that data taken from a time series of cross sections can be used to estimate dynamic models. Following Moffitt (1990, 1993), a markovian model with discrete dependent variables is set up to analyze the marriage and fertility decisions of Canadian women. The model is estimated with data taken from the Survey of Consumer Finances, a cross sectional survey repeated over time with different samples. En économie du travail, un nombre croissant de propositions sont formulées en termes dynamiques. Pour tester ces propositions, on doit idéalement disposer de données longitudinales ou, tout au moins, rétrospectives. Cependant, des études récentes ont démontré que des données provenant de coupes transversales répétées dans le temps peuvent être utilisées pour estimer des modèles dynamiques. Suivant une approche proposée par Moffitt (1990, 1993), on construit un modèle markovien avec variables dépendantes discrètes pour analyser les décisions de formation des couples et de fécondité de rang un, deux et trois des femmes canadiennes. Ce modèle est estimé à l’aide de données tirées de l’Enquête sur les finances des consommateurs, une enquête ponctuelle répétée dans le temps.

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Article provided by Société Canadienne de Science Economique in its journal L'Actualité économique.

Volume (Year): 73 (1997)
Issue (Month): 1 (mars-juin-septembre)
Pages: 233-263

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Handle: RePEc:ris:actuec:v:73:y:1997:i:1:p:233-263
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