IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

L’impact du choc démographique sur le niveau de vie à long terme


  • Fortin, Pierre

    (Département de sciences économiques, Université du Québec à Montréal)


All modern industrial societies have now entered a regime of low fertility that is the outcome of profound and lasting causes (in particular, technological) and is accompanied by a radical and permanent change in the role of women. The resulting demographic slowdown will no doubt have favourable consequences on the employment and wages of the baby-bust children (who are now 25 years old or less), and unfavourable consequences on the labour market performance of the baby-boom children (who are now entering the 45-and-over age group). Toutes les sociétés industrielles évoluent maintenant dans un régime de sous-fécondité qui relève de causes profondes et durables (notamment technologiques) et qui s’accompagne d’un changement radical et définitif du rôle des femmes. Sur le plan de l’emploi comme sur le plan des salaires, le ralentissement démographique qui en découle aura sans doute des conséquences favorables sur les enfants du baby-bust qui ont aujourd’hui moins de 25 ans et des conséquences défavorables pour les enfants du baby-boom qui entrent aujourd’hui dans le groupe des 45 ans ou plus.

Suggested Citation

  • Fortin, Pierre, 1989. "L’impact du choc démographique sur le niveau de vie à long terme," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 65(3), pages 364-395, septembre.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:actuec:v:65:y:1989:i:3:p:364-395

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Barro, Robert J, 1974. "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(6), pages 1095-1117, Nov.-Dec..
    2. Modigliani, Franco, 1986. "Life Cycle, Individual Thrift, and the Wealth of Nations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(3), pages 297-313, June.
    3. B. Douglas Bernheim, 1987. "Ricardian Equivalence: An Evaluation of Theory and Evidence," NBER Chapters,in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1987, Volume 2, pages 263-316 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Alan J. Auerbach & Laurence J. Kotlikoff & Robert Hagemann & Giuseppe Nicoletti, 1989. "The Dynamics of an Aging Population: The Case of Four OECD Countries," NBER Working Papers 2797, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1989. "What Determines Savings?," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262611872, January.
    6. Paul A. Samuelson, 1956. "Social Indifference Curves," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 70(1), pages 1-22.
    7. Swan, Trevor W, 2002. "Economic Growth," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 78(243), pages 375-380, December.
    8. Clark, Robert L & Kreps, Juanita & Spengler, Joseph J, 1978. "Economics of Aging: A Survey," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 16(3), pages 919-962, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:actuec:v:65:y:1989:i:3:p:364-395. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Bruce Shearer). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.