IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0297629.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

In quest of China sports lottery development path to common prosperity in 2035

Author

Listed:
  • Yaping Yao
  • Bin Wan
  • Bo Long
  • Te Bu
  • Yang Zhang

Abstract

Objectives: The China sports lottery contributes to sports and welfare causes. This study aims to construct a macro forecasting model supporting its sustained growth aligned with Vision 2035. Methods: The modeling employed a distributional regression. Sales data of the China sports lottery from 2011 to 2022 were chosen as the response variable, alongside various macro- and event-level explanatory factors. Results: A gamma distribution best fit the data. In the stable model spanning 2011–2019, urbanization, population dynamics, and FIFA emerged as significant contributors (Chi–square p

Suggested Citation

  • Yaping Yao & Bin Wan & Bo Long & Te Bu & Yang Zhang, 2024. "In quest of China sports lottery development path to common prosperity in 2035," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(1), pages 1-16, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0297629
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0297629
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0297629
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0297629&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0297629?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrew E. Clark & Paul Frijters & Michael A. Shields, 2008. "Relative Income, Happiness, and Utility: An Explanation for the Easterlin Paradox and Other Puzzles," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(1), pages 95-144, March.
    2. Jiaomu Li & Bin Wan & Yaping Yao & Te Bu & Ping Li & Yang Zhang, 2023. "Chinese Path to Sports Modernization: Fitness-for-All (Chinese) and a Development Model for Developing Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-17, February.
    3. Luke Lunhua Mao & James J. Zhang & Daniel P. Connaughton, 2015. "Sports gambling as consumption: Evidence from demand for sports lottery," Sport Management Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 436-447, July.
    4. Lide Su & AGUDAMU & Yuqian Liu & Yang Zhang, 2023. "China’s new urban clusters strategy for coordinated economic growth: Evidence from the sports industry," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(10), pages 1-14, October.
    5. Zhang, Chengsi, 2013. "Money, housing, and inflation in China," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 75-87.
    6. Mao, Luke Lunhua & Zhang, James J. & Connaughton, Daniel P., 2015. "Sports gambling as consumption: Evidence from demand for sports lottery," Sport Management Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 436-447.
    7. Martin Young & Francis Markham & Bruce Doran, 2012. "Too close to home? The relationships between residential distance to venue and gambling outcomes," International Gambling Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 257-273, February.
    8. R. A. Rigby & D. M. Stasinopoulos, 2005. "Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 54(3), pages 507-554, June.
    9. Stasinopoulos, D. Mikis & Rigby, Robert A., 2007. "Generalized Additive Models for Location Scale and Shape (GAMLSS) in R," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 23(i07).
    10. Fang Cai, 2010. "Demographic transition, demographic dividend, and Lewis turning point in China," China Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 107-119.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yixuan Wang & Jianzhu Li & Ping Feng & Rong Hu, 2015. "A Time-Dependent Drought Index for Non-Stationary Precipitation Series," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(15), pages 5631-5647, December.
    2. Panayi, Efstathios & Peters, Gareth W. & Danielsson, Jon & Zigrand, Jean-Pierre, 2018. "Designating market maker behaviour in limit order book markets," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 20-44.
    3. Gauss Cordeiro & Josemar Rodrigues & Mário Castro, 2012. "The exponential COM-Poisson distribution," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 653-664, August.
    4. Christian Kleiber & Achim Zeileis, 2016. "Visualizing Count Data Regressions Using Rootograms," The American Statistician, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 70(3), pages 296-303, July.
    5. Robin Maximilian Stetzka & Stefan Winter, 2023. "How rational is gambling?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(4), pages 1432-1488, September.
    6. Matteo Malavasi & Gareth W. Peters & Pavel V. Shevchenko & Stefan Truck & Jiwook Jang & Georgy Sofronov, 2021. "Cyber Risk Frequency, Severity and Insurance Viability," Papers 2111.03366, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    7. Lucio Masserini & Matilde Bini & Monica Pratesi, 2017. "Effectiveness of non-selective evaluation test scores for predicting first-year performance in university career: a zero-inflated beta regression approach," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 693-708, March.
    8. Tong, Edward N.C. & Mues, Christophe & Thomas, Lyn, 2013. "A zero-adjusted gamma model for mortgage loan loss given default," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 548-562.
    9. Alexander Silbersdorff & Kai Sebastian Schneider, 2019. "Distributional Regression Techniques in Socioeconomic Research on the Inequality of Health with an Application on the Relationship between Mental Health and Income," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-28, October.
    10. Tong, Edward N.C. & Mues, Christophe & Brown, Iain & Thomas, Lyn C., 2016. "Exposure at default models with and without the credit conversion factor," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 252(3), pages 910-920.
    11. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    12. D. Chiru Naik & Sagar Rohidas Chavan & P. Sonali, 2023. "Incorporating the climate oscillations in the computation of meteorological drought over India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(3), pages 2617-2646, July.
    13. Shuhui Guo & Lihua Xiong & Jie Chen & Shenglian Guo & Jun Xia & Ling Zeng & Chong-Yu Xu, 2023. "Nonstationary Regional Flood Frequency Analysis Based on the Bayesian Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(2), pages 659-681, January.
    14. Nola Agha & B. David Tyler, 2017. "An investigation of highly identified fans who bet against their favorite teams," Sport Management Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 296-308, July.
    15. Maike Hohberg & Katja Landau & Thomas Kneib & Stephan Klasen & Walter Zucchini, 2018. "Vulnerability to poverty revisited: Flexible modeling and better predictive performance," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 16(3), pages 439-454, September.
    16. Kuntz, Laura-Chloé, 2020. "Beta dispersion and market timing," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 235-256.
    17. Epstein, Leonardo D. & Inostroza-Quezada, Ignacio E. & Goodstein, Ronald C. & Choi, S. Chan, 2021. "Dynamic effects of store promotions on purchase conversion: Expanding technology applications with innovative analytics," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 279-289.
    18. Serinaldi, Francesco, 2011. "Distributional modeling and short-term forecasting of electricity prices by Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1216-1226.
    19. Yolanda M. Gómez & Diego I. Gallardo & Marcelo Bourguignon & Eduardo Bertolli & Vinicius F. Calsavara, 2023. "A general class of promotion time cure rate models with a new biological interpretation," Lifetime Data Analysis: An International Journal Devoted to Statistical Methods and Applications for Time-to-Event Data, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 66-86, January.
    20. Christophe Croux & Irène Gijbels & Ilaria Prosdocimi, 2012. "Robust Estimation of Mean and Dispersion Functions in Extended Generalized Additive Models," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 68(1), pages 31-44, March.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0297629. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.