IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0259452.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Crowding in or crowding out? How local government debt influences corporate innovation for China

Author

Listed:
  • Junbing Xu
  • Yuanyuan Li
  • Dawei Feng
  • Zhouyi Wu
  • Yang He

Abstract

The pressure upon local governments to redeem their debt could affect government fiscal ability. It could consequently affect their fiscal policies on corporations, which might distort corporate innovation. Based on the data of Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies and the local government implicit short-term debt financed by local government financing vehicles (LGFVs) in 31 provinces, this paper shows that local government debt (LGD) negatively affects corporate R&D investment in China, thereby suggesting a strong crowding-out effect. The crowding-out effect is more pronounced when the firm is a non-state-owned enterprise (NSOE), the firm’s size is small, the firm’s age is young, or the firm is in the lower market competition. This paper provide evidence by interacting the terms that local government actions, such as consumption of fiscal resources, strengthening tax collection efforts, or consumption of credit resources, might partially account for the crowding-out effect. This study illustrates the innovation costs of local government debt.

Suggested Citation

  • Junbing Xu & Yuanyuan Li & Dawei Feng & Zhouyi Wu & Yang He, 2021. "Crowding in or crowding out? How local government debt influences corporate innovation for China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(11), pages 1-20, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0259452
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0259452
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0259452
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0259452&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0259452?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ms. Yuanyan S Zhang & Mr. Steven A Barnett, 2014. "Fiscal Vulnerabilities and Risks from Local Government Finance in China," IMF Working Papers 2014/004, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Yu, Feifei & Guo, Yue & Le-Nguyen, Khuong & Barnes, Stuart J. & Zhang, Weiting, 2016. "The impact of government subsidies and enterprises’ R&D investment: A panel data study from renewable energy in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 106-113.
    3. Yousha Liang & Kang Shi & Lisheng Wang & Juanyi Xu, 2017. "Local Government Debt and Firm Leverage: Evidence from China," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 12(2), pages 210-232, July.
    4. Atif Ansar & Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier & Daniel Lunn, 2016. "Does infrastructure investment lead to economic growth or economic fragility? Evidence from China," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 32(3), pages 360-390.
    5. Alberto Galasso & Timothy S. Simcoe, 2011. "CEO Overconfidence and Innovation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(8), pages 1469-1484, August.
    6. Eidam, Frederik, 2018. "Gap-filling government debt maturity choice," ZEW Discussion Papers 18-025, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    7. Lily H. Fang & Josh Lerner & Chaopeng Wu, 2017. "Intellectual Property Rights Protection, Ownership, and Innovation: Evidence from China," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(7), pages 2446-2477.
    8. Viral V. Acharya & Krishnamurthy V. Subramanian, 2009. "Bankruptcy Codes and Innovation," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(12), pages 4949-4988, December.
    9. Hanlon, Michelle & Heitzman, Shane, 2010. "A review of tax research," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2-3), pages 127-178, December.
    10. Cochrane, John H., 2011. "Understanding policy in the great recession: Some unpleasant fiscal arithmetic," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 2-30, January.
    11. Joseph S. Berliner, 1978. "The Innovation Decision in Soviet Industry," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262520524, December.
    12. Yi Huang & Ugo Panizza & Richard Varghese, 2018. "Does Public Debt Crowd Out Corporate Investment? International Evidence," IHEID Working Papers 08-2018, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    13. Aoife Hanley & Wan-Hsin Liu & Andrea Vaona, 2015. "Credit depth, government intervention and innovation in China: evidence from the provincial data," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 5(1), pages 73-98, June.
    14. Teles, Vladimir K. & Cesar Mussolini, Caio, 2014. "Public debt and the limits of fiscal policy to increase economic growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 1-15.
    15. Jun Li & Ruby P. Lee & Junbao Wan, 2020. "Indirect effects of direct subsidies: an examination of signaling effects," Industry and Innovation, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(9), pages 1040-1061, October.
    16. Lan Thanh Archer & Parmendra Sharma & Jen-Je Su, 2020. "Do credit constraints always impede innovation? Empirical evidence from Vietnamese SMEs," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(44), pages 4864-4880, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Changqian Xie & Rubi Ahmad & Eric H Y Koh, 2022. "Does credit rating agency reputation matter in China’s local government bond market?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(9), pages 1-32, September.
    2. Geng, Xin & Qian, Meijun, 2024. "Understanding the local government debt in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    3. Nie, Song & Zeng, Gang & Zhang, Xu & Guo, Qiaozhe, 2024. "Does local government debt pressure hamper green transition? Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1185-1201.
    4. Zhang, Xiekui & Gong, Dayong & Huang, Yihan & Li, Yiting, 2024. "The Government's fiscal and taxation policy effect on enterprise productivity: Policy choice and optimal allocation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 28-41.
    5. Kai Wu & Dingyao Guo, 2024. "From red tape to innovation: How does municipal government financing reform affect corporate R&D activities?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 64(4), pages 3387-3417, December.
    6. Yu, Siming & Kang, Wan & Wenjun, Liu & Wang, Deli & Zheng, Jieying & Dong, Boyan, 2024. "The crowding out effect of local government debt expansion: Insights from commercial credit financing," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 858-872.
    7. Xiaoxu Zhang & Rongxue Jin, 2022. "Has local government debt crowded out enterprise innovation?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(11), pages 1-17, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, Wen & Zhu, Yufeng & He, Zehui & Yang, Yang, 2022. "The effect of local government debt on green innovation: Evidence from Chinese listed companies," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Xuan Leng & Pengcheng Li & Yuming Zheng, 2023. "Does the expansion of local government debt affect the export quality?," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 2495-2515, June.
    3. Zhu, Jun & Xu, Haokun & Zhang, Yue, 2022. "Local government debt and firm productivity: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Ge, Jianjun & Li, Donghui & Ni, Yingzhao & Yang, Shijie, 2022. "Inflexibility and corporate innovation: Cross-country evidence," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    5. İbrahim Özmen & Mihai Mutascu, 2024. "Public Debt and Growth: New Insights," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 8706-8736, June.
    6. Luigi Mittone & Matteo Tomaselli, 2019. "Economic Growth and Public Debt: An Experimental Approach in Search of a Confidence Channel," DEM Working Papers 2019/18, Department of Economics and Management.
    7. Danlin Shen & Carl R. Chen & Xinyan Yan & Zhihong Yi, 2022. "Do credit market accessibility and legal protection shape corporate innovation?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 45(3), pages 719-754, September.
    8. Chen, Shu & Ying, Sammy Xiaoyan & Wu, Huiying & You, Jiaxing, 2021. "Carrying on the family's legacy: Male heirs and firm innovation," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    9. Lorenzo Carbonari & Alessio Farcomeni & Filippo Maurici & Giovanni Trovato, 2023. "On the output effect of fiscal consolidation plans: a causal analysis," Working Paper series 23-18, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    10. Lei Wang & Chuncao Wang & Jiayi Chen & Jingke Chang, 2025. "The hidden crowding out effect: How does local government implicit debt pressure influence enterprise productivity in China?," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 46(1), pages 502-514, January.
    11. Zhou Ming Matt & Wang Man Cang, 2019. "Predictive Analysis of Fiscal Crises with Deep Learning Time Series Model," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(5), pages 1-21, May.
    12. Gu, Leilei & Ni, Xiaoran & Peng, Yuchao & Zhang, Huilin, 2020. "Entry of foreign banks, state ownership, and corporate innovation," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    13. Philipp Heimberger, 2023. "Do higher public debt levels reduce economic growth?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(4), pages 1061-1089, September.
    14. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Ytallo Brito, 2021. "The link between public debt and investment: an empirical assessment from emerging markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(50), pages 5864-5876, October.
    15. Zhang, Ping & Wang, Yiru, 2023. "The bright side of analyst coverage on corporate innovation: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    16. Qing Wan & Xiaoke Cheng & Kam C. Chan & Shenghao Gao, 2021. "Born to innovate? The birth‐order effect of CEOs on corporate innovation," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(9-10), pages 1846-1888, October.
    17. Francis, Bill B. & Kim, Incheol & Wang, Bin & Zhang, Zhengyi, 2018. "Labor law and innovation revisited," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1-15.
    18. He, Eric & Jacob, Martin & Vashishtha, Rahul & Venkatachalam, Mohan, 2022. "Does differential taxation of short-term relative to long-term capital gains affect long-term investment?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1).
    19. Yi Huang & Marco Pagano & Ugo Panizza, 2020. "Local Crowding‐Out in China," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(6), pages 2855-2898, December.
    20. Gómez-Puig, Marta & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2017. "Heterogeneity in the debt-growth nexus: Evidence from EMU countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 470-486.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0259452. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.