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Oil Prices, Excess Uncertainty and Trend Growth

Author

Listed:
  • Jouko Rautava

    () (Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT))

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Jouko Rautava, 2013. "Oil Prices, Excess Uncertainty and Trend Growth," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 77-87.
  • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbfi:y:2013:i:4:b:3
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    File URL: https://www.oenb.at/dam/jcr:aeee8d5b-ff32-4db7-919c-7e37e5d1fcb9/feei_2013_q4_studies_rautava.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rautava, Jouko, 2004. "The role of oil prices and the real exchange rate in Russia's economy--a cointegration approach," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 315-327, June.
    2. Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Martin Feldkircher & Tomáš Slacík & Julia Wörz, 2009. "Simple but Effective: The OeNB’s Forecasting Model for Selected CESEE Countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 84-95.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Deryugina, Elena & Ponomarenko, Alexey, 2014. "A large Bayesian vector autoregression model for Russia," BOFIT Discussion Papers 22/2014, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    2. Idrisov, Georgiy (Идрисов, Георгий) & Kazakova, Maria (Казакова, Мария) & Polbin, Andrey (Полбин, Андрей), 2014. "The theoretical interpretation of the effect of oil prices on economic growth in modern Russia
      [Теоретическая Интерпретация Влияния Нефтяных Цен На Экономический Рост В Современной России]
      ," Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 5, pages 150-171, October.
    3. repec:rnp:ecopol:ep1803 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russian GDP; oil prices; trend growth; uncertainty; SVEC; forecasting;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • P28 - Economic Systems - - Socialist Systems and Transition Economies - - - Natural Resources; Environment
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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