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Estimating Price Elasticities on the Hungarian Consumer Lending and Deposit Markets: Demand Effects and Their Possible Consequences

Author

Listed:
  • Dániel Holló

    (Magyar Nemzeti Bank,)

Abstract

In this paper, we use bank product and consumer level data and estimate a random coefficient logit model (RCL) to calculate price elasticities on the Hungarian consumer lending and retail deposit markets in line with the most recent developments in the literature on discrete choice demand estimation. The findings indicate that, on average, demand for domestic currency-denominated loans is more price sensitive than demand for foreign currency loans. The results also suggest that there is an asymmetric substitution effect toward foreign currency- denominated loans as a result of a price increase of domestic currency-denominated loans (i.e. a rise in interest rates on HUF-denominated loans increases the demand for foreign currency loans more than a rise in interest rates on foreign currency loans increases the demand for HUF-denominated loans). Finally, as the substitution effect toward foreign currency-denominated loans is stronger, it might weaken the effectiveness of the interest and exchange rate channels of monetary transmission.

Suggested Citation

  • Dániel Holló, 2010. "Estimating Price Elasticities on the Hungarian Consumer Lending and Deposit Markets: Demand Effects and Their Possible Consequences," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 73-89.
    • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbfi:y:2010:i:1:b:5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Schmaltz, Christian & Heidorn, Thomas & Torchiani, Ingo, 2018. "Distance to compliance portfolios: An integrated shortfall measure for basel III," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 87-101.
    2. Glaser Darrell J. & Rahman Ahmed S. & Smith Katherine A. & Chan Daniel W., 2013. "Product Differentiation and Consumer Surplus in the Microfinance Industry," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 13(2), pages 991-1022, August.
    3. Schmaltz, Christian & Pokutta, Sebastian & Heidorn, Thomas & Andrae, Silvio, 2014. "How to make regulators and shareholders happy under Basel III," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 311-325.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • L10 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - General

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