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A coupled physical and economic model of the response of coastal real estate to climate risk

Author

Listed:
  • Dylan E. McNamara

    (University of North Carolina)

  • Andrew Keeler

    (East Carolina University)

Abstract

A study that couples a barrier-island model with an agent-based model of real-estate markets shows that, relative to people with little belief in model predictions on climate change, informed property owners invest heavily in defensive measures in the short term. They then abandon coastal real estate when price volatility becomes significant.

Suggested Citation

  • Dylan E. McNamara & Andrew Keeler, 2013. "A coupled physical and economic model of the response of coastal real estate to climate risk," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(6), pages 559-562, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:6:d:10.1038_nclimate1826
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1826
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jlenia Di Noia, 2022. "Agent-Based Models for Climate Change Adaptation in Coastal Zones. A Review," Working Papers 2022.20, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    2. Gregory Casey & Soheil Shayegh & Juan Moreno-Cruz & Martin Bunzl & Oded Galor & Ken Caldeira, 2019. "The Impact of Climate Change on Fertility," Working Papers 2019-2, Brown University, Department of Economics.
    3. Landry, Craig E. & Shonkwiler, J. Scott & Whitehead, John C., 2020. "Economic Values of Coastal Erosion Management: Joint Estimation of Use and Existence Values with recreation demand and contingent valuation data," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    4. Di Noia, Jlenia, 2022. "Agent-Based Models for Climate Change Adaptation in Coastal Zones. A Review," FEEM Working Papers 322810, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    5. Alexandra Toimil & Iñigo J. Losada & Moisés Álvarez-Cuesta & Gonéri Cozannet, 2023. "Demonstrating the value of beaches for adaptation to future coastal flood risk," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Justin Tyndall, 2023. "Sea Level Rise and Home Prices: Evidence from Long Island," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 579-605, November.
    7. Bunten, Devin & Kahn, Matthew E., 2017. "Optimal real estate capital durability and localized climate change disaster risk," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 1-7.
    8. Sierra Woodruff & Todd K. BenDor & Aaron L. Strong, 2018. "Fighting the inevitable: infrastructure investment and coastal community adaptation to sea level rise," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 34(1-2), pages 48-77, January.
    9. Toon Haer & W. J. Wouter Botzen & Hans de Moel & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, 2017. "Integrating Household Risk Mitigation Behavior in Flood Risk Analysis: An Agent‐Based Model Approach," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(10), pages 1977-1992, October.
    10. Dylan E. McNamara & Martin D. Smith & Zachary Williams & Sathya Gopalakrishnan & Craig E. Landry, 2024. "Policy and market forces delay real estate price declines on the US coast," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-16, December.
    11. Eduardo Mello & David Smyth & Mark Chatting & Juha Mikael Alatalo & Bruno Welter Giraldes, 2023. "The Blue Management: Adding Economic Value to Restoration Actions in Collapsed Ecosystems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-13, April.
    12. Marcel Henkel, Eunjee Kwon, Pierre Magontier, 2022. "The Unintended Consequences of Post-Disaster Policies for Spatial Sorting," Diskussionsschriften credresearchpaper37, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft - CRED.
    13. Dasgupta, Susmita & Wheeler, David & Bandyopadhyay, Sunando & Ghosh, Santadas & Roy, Utpal, 2022. "Coastal dilemma: Climate change, public assistance and population displacement," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    14. Wieteska-Rosiak Beata, 2020. "Real Estate Sector in the Face of Climate Change Adaptation in Major Polish Cities," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 28(1), pages 51-63, March.
    15. Eli D. Lazarus, 2017. "Toward a Global Classification of Coastal Anthromes," Land, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-27, February.
    16. Hain, Linda I. & Kölbel, Julian F. & Leippold, Markus, 2022. "Let’s get physical: Comparing metrics of physical climate risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    17. Andrew G. Keeler & Megan Mullin & Dylan E. McNamara & Martin D. Smith, 2022. "Buyouts with rentbacks: a policy proposal for managing coastal retreat," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 12(3), pages 646-651, September.
    18. Landry, Craig & Syphers, Steven & Keeler, Andrew, 2022. "Preferences for Post-storm Coastal Adaptation," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322385, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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