The Composition of the Government Budget and the Dynamics of Public Debt
This paper investigates compositional effects on public-debt dynamics. Our contribution is twofold. First, we improve the methodology by taking explicit account of public-debt dynamics, eliminating a bias present in previous studies. Second, we estimate the evolution of debt dynamics induced by changes in the primary expenditure and revenue ratios - looking at all fiscal periods - not only consolidations as in the previous literature. Whilst we confirm that expenditure cuts are more important for debt reductions than are revenue increases, our findings contrast with the literature in that we obtain persistent debt-augmenting effects of tax reductions.
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Volume (Year): 63 (2007)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
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References listed on IDEAS
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- Bertola, Giuseppe & Drazen, Allan, 1993.
"Trigger Points and Budget Cuts: Explaining the Effects of Fiscal Austerity,"
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- Alesina, Alberto Francesco & Perotti, Roberto & Tavares, Jose, 1998. "The Political Economy of Fiscal Adjustments," Scholarly Articles 12553724, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Ardagna, Silvia & Alesina, Alberto, 1998. "Tales of Fiscal Adjustment," Scholarly Articles 2579822, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Alberto Alesina & Silvia Ardagna, 1998. "Tales of fiscal adjustment," Economic Policy, CEPR;CES;MSH, vol. 13(27), pages 487-545, October.
- Alberto Alesina & Roberto Perotti & José Tavares, 1998. "The Political Economy of Fiscal Adjustments," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 29(1), pages 197-266.
- Alberto Alesina & Roberto Perotti, 1997. "Fiscal Adjustments in OECD Countries: Composition and Macroeconomic Effects," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 44(2), pages 210-248, June. Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)
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