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Idiosyncratic Volatility, Momentum, Liquidity, and Expected Stock Returns in Developed and Emerging Markets

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  • Lorne Switzer

    (Concordia University, Canada)

  • Alan Picard

    (Concordia University, Canada)

Abstract

This paper re-examines the link between idiosyncratic risk and expected returns for a large sample of firms in both developed and emerging markets. Recent studies using Fama-French three-factor models have shown a negative relationship between idiosyncratic volatility and expected returns for developed markets. This relationship has not been studied to date for emerging markets. This study relates the current-month's idiosyncratic volatility to the subsequent month's stock returns for a sample of both developed and emerging markets expanding benchmark factors by including both a momentum and a systematic liquidity risk component. Using a five-factor model, the results suggest that idiosyncratic risk does not play a role on stock returns for most of the developed markets analyzed. In contrast, the paper shows, for the first time, that idiosyncratic risk is positively related to month-ahead expected returns for many emerging markets for this model.

Suggested Citation

  • Lorne Switzer & Alan Picard, 2015. "Idiosyncratic Volatility, Momentum, Liquidity, and Expected Stock Returns in Developed and Emerging Markets," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 19(3), pages 169-221, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:mfj:journl:v:19:y:2015:i:3:p:169-221
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    3. Laura Arenas & Ana Maria Gil-Lafuente, 2021. "Regime Switching in High-Tech ETFs: Idiosyncratic Volatility and Return," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-25, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    idiosyncratic volatility; expected returns; developed vs. emerging markets; asset pricing; multifactor models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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