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Modeling financial crises: a schematic approach

  • John T. Harvey

John Maynard Keynes argued that crises were systemic and that, unless serious reforms were implemented, they would tend to grow in frequency and severity. The paper sets out to build a Keynes-style model of crises that captures both the unique characteristics of each type and their common roots. A schematic method is employed that traces the processes in time and shows how events become interrelated and mutually causal. This permits us, as much as possible, to see everything at once—a necessity when the buildup to a crisis may manifest itself in so many places.

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Article provided by M.E. Sharpe, Inc. in its journal Journal of Post Keynesian Economics.

Volume (Year): 33 (2010)
Issue (Month): 1 (October)
Pages: 61-82

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Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:33:y:2010:i:1:p:61-82
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  1. Gary A. Dymski, 1988. "A Keynesian Theory of Bank Behavior," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 10(4), pages 499-526, July.
  2. Taylor, Lance, 1998. "Capital Market Crises: Liberalisation, Fixed Exchange Rates and Market-Driven Destabilisation," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(6), pages 663-76, November.
  3. Daniel Kahneman & Dan Lovallo, 1993. "Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 39(1), pages 17-31, January.
  4. Ilene Grabel, 2003. "Averting crisis? Assessing measures to manage financial integration in emerging economies," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 27(3), pages 317-336, May.
  5. Stephen P. Dunn, 2001. "Bounded Rationality Is Not Fundamental Uncertainty: A Post Keynesian Perspective," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 23(4), pages 567-587, July.
  6. John Harvey, 2002. "Keynes' Chapter Twenty-Two: A System Dynamics Model," Working Papers 200201, Texas Christian University, Department of Economics.
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