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Az agrárkereskedelem dinamikája - A csatlakozó országok esete
[The dynamics of agri-food trade patterns - the accession countries case]

Author

Listed:
  • Fertő, Imre
  • Hubbard, Lionel J.

Abstract

A tanulmány a közép-európai országok agrárkereskedelmi szerkezetének dinamikáját vizsgálja meg 1992 és 2000 között. A kereskedelem specializációjának mérésére a klasszikus Balassa-indexet (B-indexet), illetve annak szimmetrikus transzformációját használtuk. A kereskedelem specializációja csökkenő trendet mutat, azaz a közép-európai országok a vizsgált időszakban számos termékcsoportban elveszítették komparatív előnyeiket. A Balassa-indexek közelebbi elemzése azt mutatja, hogy azok konvergáltak egymáshoz, de az egyes termékcsoportokra az indexek nagyobb változékonyságot mutattak. Meglehetősen nagy annak a valószínűsége, hogy egy termékcsoport specializációja csökkenjen, míg annak növekedésére alig van esély. Végezetül, eredményeink nem támogatják az önmegerősítő mechanizmus létét, amely mellett olyan erősen érvel az endogén növekedés és a kereskedelemelmélet egyik része. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: Q12.

Suggested Citation

  • Fertő, Imre & Hubbard, Lionel J., 2005. "Az agrárkereskedelem dinamikája - A csatlakozó országok esete [The dynamics of agri-food trade patterns - the accession countries case]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(1), pages 24-38.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:741
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Miklós VÁSÁRY, 2013. "Foreign trade trends in the Hungarian-Romanian turnover of agricultural products," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 4, pages 81-103, June.

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    JEL classification:

    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets

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