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The Impact of Travel Time Information on Travelers’ Learning under Uncertainty

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  • Erel Avineri
  • Joseph Prashker

Abstract

In this work, laboratory experiment was conducted in order to evaluate the effect of feedback on decision-making under uncertainty, with and without provided information about travel times. We discuss the prediction of travelers’ response to uncertainty in two route–choice situations. In the first situation travelers are faced with a route–choice problem in which travel times are uncertain but some external information about routes’ travel times is provided. The second situation takes place in a more uncertain environment in which external information about travel times is not provided, and the travelers’ only source of information is their own experience. Experimental results are in conflict with the paradigm about traveler information systems: As a consequence of information, the propensity of travelers to minimize expected travel time is not necessarily increased. Providing travelers with static information about expected travel times reveals an increase in the heterogeneity of travelers’ choices and reduces the maximization rate. Copyright Springer 2006

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  • Erel Avineri & Joseph Prashker, 2006. "The Impact of Travel Time Information on Travelers’ Learning under Uncertainty," Transportation, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 393-408, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:33:y:2006:i:4:p:393-408
    DOI: 10.1007/s11116-005-5710-y
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    3. Morgan, John & Orzen, Henrik & Sefton, Martin, 2009. "Network architecture and traffic flows: Experiments on the Pigou-Knight-Downs and Braess Paradoxes," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 348-372, May.
    4. Chorus, Caspar G. & Arentze, Theo A. & Molin, Eric J.E. & Timmermans, Harry J.P. & Van Wee, Bert, 2006. "The value of travel information: Decision strategy-specific conceptualizations and numerical examples," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 504-519, July.
    5. Alessandro Innocenti & Patrizia Latturolo & Maria Grazia Pazienza, 2009. "Heuristics and Biases in Travel Mode Choice," Working Papers 09_5, SIET Società Italiana di Economia dei Trasporti e della Logistica.
    6. Ben-Elia, Eran & Ettema, Dick, 2011. "Rewarding rush-hour avoidance: A study of commuters' travel behavior," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(7), pages 567-582, August.
    7. Kemel, Emmanuel & Paraschiv, Corina, 2013. "Prospect Theory for joint time and money consequences in risk and ambiguity," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 81-95.
    8. Li, Hao & Tu, Huizhao & Hensher, David A., 2016. "Integrating the mean–variance and scheduling approaches to allow for schedule delay and trip time variability under uncertainty," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 151-163.
    9. Xuan Lu & Song Gao & Eran Ben-Elia & Ryan Pothering, 2014. "Travelers' Day-to-Day Route Choice Behavior with Real-Time Information in a Congested Risky Network," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(4), pages 205-219, December.
    10. Kong, Hui & Moody, Joanna & Zhao, Jinhua, 2020. "ICT’s impacts on ride-hailing use and individual travel," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 1-15.
    11. Hamed Alibabai & Hani S. Mahmassani, 2016. "Foxes and sheep: effect of predictive logic in day-to-day dynamics of route choice behavior," EURO Journal on Transportation and Logistics, Springer;EURO - The Association of European Operational Research Societies, vol. 5(1), pages 53-67, March.
    12. Fosgerau, Mogens & Jiang, Gege, 2019. "Travel time variability and rational inattention," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 1-14.
    13. Monika Bąk & Przemyslaw Borkowski, 2019. "Young Transport Users’ Perception of ICT Solutions Change," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-17, July.
    14. Jiang, Gege & Fosgerau, Mogens & Lo, Hong K., 2020. "Route choice, travel time variability, and rational inattention," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 188-207.
    15. Innocenti, Alessandro & Lattarulo, Patrizia & Pazienza, Maria Grazia, 2013. "Car stickiness: Heuristics and biases in travel choice," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 158-168.
    16. Sunitiyoso, Yos & Avineri, Erel & Chatterjee, Kiron, 2013. "Dynamic modelling of travellers’ social interactions and social learning," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 258-266.
    17. Bifulco, Gennaro N. & Cantarella, Giulio E. & Simonelli, Fulvio & Velonà, Pietro, 2016. "Advanced traveller information systems under recurrent traffic conditions: Network equilibrium and stability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 92(PA), pages 73-87.
    18. Ben-Elia, Eran & Alexander, Bayarma & Hubers, Christa & Ettema, Dick, 2014. "Activity fragmentation, ICT and travel: An exploratory Path Analysis of spatiotemporal interrelationships," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 56-74.
    19. Li, Manzi & Jiang, Gege & Lo, Hong K., 2022. "Pricing strategy of ride-sourcing services under travel time variability," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    20. Ryley, Tim J. & Zanni, Alberto M., 2013. "An examination of the relationship between social interactions and travel uncertainty," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 249-257.
    21. Cominetti, Roberto & Melo, Emerson & Sorin, Sylvain, 2010. "A payoff-based learning procedure and its application to traffic games," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 71-83, September.
    22. Eran Ben-Elia & Ido Erev & Yoram Shiftan, 2008. "The combined effect of information and experience on drivers’ route-choice behavior," Transportation, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 165-177, March.
    23. Muhammad Zahid & Yangzhou Chen & Arshad Jamal & Coulibaly Zie Mamadou, 2020. "Freeway Short-Term Travel Speed Prediction Based on Data Collection Time-Horizons: A Fast Forest Quantile Regression Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-19, January.
    24. Guo, Zhan, 2011. "Mind the map! The impact of transit maps on path choice in public transit," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(7), pages 625-639, August.

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