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Should the Law of One Price be Pushed Away? Evidence from International Commodity Markets

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  • Juuso Vataja

Abstract

The long-term validity of the law-of-one-price hypothesis is explored empirically in international markets for individual commodities. The data consist of 10 commodity groups: lead, maize, newsprint, rice, rubber, sugar, tin, wheat, wool, and zinc. The results provide broad support for the hypothesis: out of the 17 bivariate relationships investigated, the hypothesis is supported in 14 cases. The results also imply that two thirds of the deviations from the “law” are eliminated within one year, on average. Thus, at the commodity level, the adjustment speeds are found to be considerably faster than what has been found previously for aggregate price indices. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2000

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  • Juuso Vataja, 2000. "Should the Law of One Price be Pushed Away? Evidence from International Commodity Markets," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 399-415, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:11:y:2000:i:4:p:399-415
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1008330727596
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    1. Phillips, Llad & Pippenger, John, 2005. "Some Pitfalls in Testing the Law of One Price in Commodity Markets," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt92b16177, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
    2. Pippenger, John, 2007. "Strictly Speaking, the Law of One Price Works in Commodity Markets," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt1sf2d60x, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
    3. Juuso Vataja, 2001. "On the interdependence of Finnish and Swedish newsprint prices," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 120-130, Autumn.
    4. Maria Eleftheriou & Nikolas A. Müller-Plantenberg, 2018. "The Purchasing Power Parity Fallacy: Time to Reconsider the PPP Hypothesis," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 481-515, July.
    5. Zhu, Yongguang & Xu, Deyi & Cheng, Jinhua & Ali, Saleem Hassan, 2018. "Estimating the impact of China's export policy on tin prices: a mode decomposition counterfactual analysis method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 250-264.
    6. Bubáková, P., . "The Law of One Price of Central European Countries – Analysis of Feed Barley," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 7(2), pages 1-13.
    7. Pippenger, John & Phillips, Llad, 2008. "Some pitfalls in testing the law of one price in commodity markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 915-925, October.

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