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Commercial Real Estate, Distress and Financial Resolution: Portfolio Lending Versus Securitization

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  • David Downs
  • Pisun (Tracy) Xu

Abstract

This paper examines the contrasting influence of portfolio lending and securitization in the resolution of distressed commercial real estate. The empirical analysis utilizes a large and unique data set of distressed commercial mortgages. The data set is constructed based on the recent financial crisis and includes portfolio and securitized loans. The main hypotheses address the marginal impact of portfolio versus securitized loans on the likelihood of resolution, resolution outcome, time to resolution and capital recovery rates. Conditional on a loan becoming troubled, we find that distressed commercial real estate loans held in a portfolio are more likely to be resolved and experience higher foreclosure rates compared to those that are securitized. Furthermore, portfolio loans experience shorter time to resolution and higher capital recovery rates when resolution is relatively swift. Our study is intended to contribute to the growing literature on distressed asset resolution and to provide new perspectives on how different lending options impact the financial resolution and workout process in a distressed commercial mortgage market. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2015

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  • David Downs & Pisun (Tracy) Xu, 2015. "Commercial Real Estate, Distress and Financial Resolution: Portfolio Lending Versus Securitization," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 254-287, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:51:y:2015:i:2:p:254-287
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-014-9471-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jun Chen & Yongheng Deng, 2013. "Commercial Mortgage Workout Strategy and Conditional Default Probability: Evidence from Special Serviced CMBS Loans," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 609-632, May.
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    6. Manuel Adelino & Kristopher Gerardi & Paul Willen, 2014. "Identifying the Effect of Securitization on Foreclosure and Modification Rates Using Early Payment Defaults," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 49(3), pages 352-378, October.
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    13. Piskorski, Tomasz & Seru, Amit & Vig, Vikrant, 2010. "Securitization and distressed loan renegotiation: Evidence from the subprime mortgage crisis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(3), pages 369-397, September.
    14. Andra Ghent & Rossen Valkanov, 2016. "Comparing Securitized and Balance Sheet Loans: Size Matters," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(10), pages 2784-2803, October.
    15. Yingjin Hila Gan & Christopher Mayer, 2006. "Agency Conflicts, Asset Substitution, and Securitization," NBER Working Papers 12359, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Ciochetti, Brian A. & Deng, Yongheng & Lee, Gail & Shilling, James D. & Yao, Rui, 2003. "A Proportional Hazards Model of Commercial Mortgage Default with Originator Bias," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 5-23, July.
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    18. Pennington-Cross, Anthony, 2003. "Credit History and the Performance of Prime and Nonprime Mortgages," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 279-301, November.
    19. John H. Crockett, 1990. "Workouts, Deep Pockets, and Fire Sales: An Analysis of Distressed Real Estate," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 18(1), pages 76-90, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. David P. Glancy & Robert J. Kurtzman & Lara Loewenstein, 2022. "Loan Modifications and the Commercial Real Estate Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-050, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Adam Looney & Constantine Yannelis, 2015. "A Crisis in Student Loans? How Changes in the Characteristics of Borrowers and in the Institutions They Attended Contributed to Rising Loan Defaults," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 46(2 (Fall)), pages 1-89.
    3. David Glancy & John R. Krainer & Robert J. Kurtzman & Joseph B. Nichols, 2022. "Intermediary Segmentation in the Commercial Real Estate Market," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(7), pages 2029-2080, October.
    4. Beate Monika Philipps, 2021. "Commercial Real Estate Loans - Categorization of an Investment Segment," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 5-26.
    5. Joseph Obaje Ataguba & Celestine Udoka Ugonabo, 2023. "Framework for measuring the efficiency and efficacy of sale of distressed mortgaged properties using imports of statistical tests deployed in clinical studies," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(8), pages 1-32, August.
    6. Emily Johnston Ross & Lynn Shibut, 2021. "Loss Given Default, Loan Seasoning and Financial Fragility: Evidence from Commercial Real Estate Loans at Failed Banks," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 630-661, November.
    7. Lamont K. Black & John Krainer & Joseph B. Nichols, 2017. "Safe Collateral, Arm’s-Length Credit: Evidence from the Commercial Real Estate Market," Working Paper Series 2017-19, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Commercial real estate; Distressed debt; Securitization; Financial resolution; D8; G1; R33;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • R33 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Nonagricultural and Nonresidential Real Estate Markets

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