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The Valuation Impact on Distressed Residential Transactions: Anatomy of a Housing Price Bubble

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  • Ramya Aroul
  • J. Hansz

Abstract

Most previous empirical studies on foreclosure price discounts are based on data from housing-markets during periods of relative stability (Baton Rouge, Louisiana; Arlington, Texas; and Las Vegas, Nevada in 1980s and 1990s). The few studies with sample periods containing the Liquidity Crisis of 2008 were all focused on the Las Vegas market and even fewer studies have examined the pricing implications of short sale transactions. This study examines the discounts associated with foreclosure and short sale status in the Fresno, California from 2006 to 2010, a time period containing significant housing price volatility. Generally, we find approximately 20 % and 13 % discounts for foreclosure transactions and short sale transactions, respectively. These discounts remain consistent even after controlling for endogeneity of time-on-the-market and self-selection bias. We also document that both the foreclosure and short-sale discounts are time varying based on market conditions. Both foreclosure and short-sale discounts increase from 2008 to 2009 and decrease in 2010. Also, the foreclosure status decreases time on the market while the short-sale status increases time on the market. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Ramya Aroul & J. Hansz, 2014. "The Valuation Impact on Distressed Residential Transactions: Anatomy of a Housing Price Bubble," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 49(2), pages 277-302, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:49:y:2014:i:2:p:277-302
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-013-9425-0
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    Cited by:

    1. Darren K. Hayunga & R. Kelley Pace, 2017. "List Prices in the US Housing Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 155-184, August.
    2. Marcus T. Allen & Justin D. Benefield & Christopher L. Cain & Norman Maynard, 2024. "Distressed Property Sales: Differences and Similarities Across Types of Distress," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 68(2), pages 318-353, February.
    3. Michael LaCour-Little & Zhenguo Lin & Wei Yu, 2020. "Assumable Financing Redux: A New Challenge for Appraisal?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 3-39, February.
    4. Peter Chinloy & William Hardin & Zhonghua Wu, 2017. "Foreclosure, REO, and Market Sales in Residential Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 188-215, February.
    5. Marcus T. Allen & Justin D. Benefield & Ronald C. Rutherford, 2023. "Co-Listing Strategies: Better Transaction Outcomes?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 67(3), pages 517-544, October.
    6. Darren K. Hayunga & R. Kelley Pace & Shuang Zhu, 2019. "Borrower Risk and Housing Price Appreciation," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 544-566, May.
    7. Michael Heinrich & Mark Maurin & Tobias Just & Thomas Schreck, 2016. "Characteristics of German foreclosed residential assets, their real values and discounts. An empirical study," LARES lares-16-heinrich_charact, Latin American Real Estate Society (LARES).
    8. Kimberly R. Goodwin & Ken H. Johnson, 2017. "The Short Sale Stigma," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 416-434, November.
    9. Alan Tidwell & Andres Jauregui & Vivek Sah & Andrew Narwold, 2018. "Cash and Distressed House Sales Price Discounts: Dual Sample Selection Spatial Interdependence Approaches," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 101-139, January.
    10. Darren K. Hayunga, 2018. "Sales Concessions in the US Housing Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 33-75, January.

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