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The Effect of Awareness and Observability on the Non-contractible Investment of a Regulated Natural Monopoly

Author

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  • Ismail Saglam

    (TOBB University of Economics and Technology)

Abstract

This paper studies the joint effect of the regulator’s ex-ante awareness and ex-post ability to observe on the non-contractible investment activities of a natural monopoly with private marginal cost information. We show that the investment activities are lower when the regulator is ex-ante aware of their existence and ex-post able to observe them than when the regulator is never aware of, and never able to observe, them. This result, which points to the regulated firm’s prevention of ratcheting, is in line with an earlier finding of Tirole (J Polit Econ 94:235–259 1986) obtained in a bargaining model of procurement with two-sided asymmetric information. We also find that the producer welfare and the social surplus is always ex-ante higher when the regulator is unaware of its investment activities than when she is aware. Moreover, our computations show that depending on the specifications of our model, the unawareness of the regulator may positively affect the expected consumer and social welfares, as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Ismail Saglam, 2019. "The Effect of Awareness and Observability on the Non-contractible Investment of a Regulated Natural Monopoly," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 617-639, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jincot:v:19:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1007_s10842-019-00306-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10842-019-00306-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Xavier Freixas & Roger Guesnerie & Jean Tirole, 1985. "Planning under Incomplete Information and the Ratchet Effect," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 52(2), pages 173-191.
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    6. Gul, Faruk, 2001. "Unobservable Investment and the Hold-Up Problem," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(2), pages 343-376, March.
    7. Martin L. Weitzman, 1980. "The "Ratchet Principle" and Performance Incentives," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 11(1), pages 302-308, Spring.
    8. Kenneth Arrow, 1962. "Economic Welfare and the Allocation of Resources for Invention," NBER Chapters, in: The Rate and Direction of Inventive Activity: Economic and Social Factors, pages 609-626, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Jean-Jacques Laffont & Jean Tirole, 1993. "A Theory of Incentives in Procurement and Regulation," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262121743, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ismail Saglam, 2023. "Incentives of a monopolist for innovation under regulatory threat," Economics of Governance, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 41-66, March.
    2. Ismail Saglam, 2024. "The Bayesian approach to monopoly regulation after 40 years," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 108-136, June.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • L51 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Economics of Regulation
    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D

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