IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/fmktpm/v37y2023i2d10.1007_s11408-023-00425-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Securitization of pandemic risk by using coronabond

Author

Listed:
  • Adlane Haffar

    (University of Science and Technology Houari Boumédiène)

  • Éric Le Fur

    (INSEEC Grande Ecole)

  • Mohamed Khordj

    (University Pole of Koléa)

Abstract

This article investigates the pandemic risk coverage within the European Union member states through insurance securitization. This strategy allows the transfer of health risks from the insurance market to the financial markets. We focus on the financial market crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic to securitize the losses caused by the latter. Over the period from 24/01/2020 (the first proven case of contamination in Europe) to 31/03/2020 (end of the dramatic decrease in financial markets), we apply the extreme value theory allowing the selection of the trigger threshold. We identify an immediate reaction of the financial markets following a pandemic shock, the effect of which fades after a few days. The response of stock market indices, measured by the fluctuation of return rates, is not very high. Nevertheless, the reaction of the financial markets is sufficient for the corona bond triggering, provided that the threshold for triggering the incidence rate is optimal. In addition, the securitization of insurance risk could be an alternative process to the classic risk transfer techniques such as co-insurance and reinsurance. Finally, a reinsurance pool dedicated to the insurance scheme's management against the effects of a pandemic is crucial for insurance securitization. These results could have implications for various actors such as insurers, financial investors, and States.

Suggested Citation

  • Adlane Haffar & Éric Le Fur & Mohamed Khordj, 2023. "Securitization of pandemic risk by using coronabond," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 37(2), pages 209-229, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:fmktpm:v:37:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s11408-023-00425-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11408-023-00425-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11408-023-00425-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11408-023-00425-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Sam Langfield & Marco Pagano & Ricardo Reis & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Dimitri Vayanos, 2017. "ESBies: safety in the tranches," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 32(90), pages 175-219.
    2. Rees, Ray & Wambach, Achim, 2008. "The Microeconomics of Insurance," Foundations and Trends(R) in Microeconomics, now publishers, vol. 4(1–2), pages 1-163, February.
    3. Sebastian Horn & Josefin Meyer & Christoph Trebesch, 2020. "Coronabonds: The forgotten history of European Community debt," Vox eBook Chapters, in: AgneÌ€s BeÌ nassy-QueÌ reÌ & Beatrice Weder di Mauro (ed.), Europe in the Time of Covid-19, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 1, pages 201-206, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    4. Olivier Blanchard & Christopher J. Erceg & Jesper Lindé, 2017. "Jump-Starting the Euro-Area Recovery: Would a Rise in Core Fiscal Spending Help the Periphery?," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 31(1), pages 103-182.
    5. Katrien Antonio & Emiliano Valdez, 2012. "Statistical concepts of a priori and a posteriori risk classification in insurance," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 96(2), pages 187-224, June.
    6. Robert Hartwig & Greg Niehaus & Joseph Qiu, 2020. "Insurance for economic losses caused by pandemics," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 45(2), pages 134-170, September.
    7. Alicia García Herrero, 2020. "The Pandemic Requires a Coordinated Global Economic Response," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 55(2), pages 66-67, March.
    8. Paul Embrechts & Sidney Resnick & Gennady Samorodnitsky, 1999. "Extreme Value Theory as a Risk Management Tool," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 30-41.
    9. Cox, Samuel H. & Lin, Yijia & Pedersen, Hal, 2010. "Mortality risk modeling: Applications to insurance securitization," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 242-253, February.
    10. Alexis Louaas & Pierre Picard, 2021. "Optimal insurance coverage of low-probability catastrophic risks," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 46(1), pages 61-88, March.
    11. De Toldi, M. & Gourieroux, C. & Monfort, A., 1995. "Prepayment analysis for securitization," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 45-70, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ciardiello, Francesco & Di Lorenzo, Emilia & Menzietti, Massimiliano & Sibillo, Marilena, 2024. "Securitization for common health," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    2. D'Amato, Valeria & Di Lorenzo, Emilia & Piscopo, Gabriella & Sibillo, Marilena & Trotta, Annarita, 2024. "Insurance business and social sustainability: A proposal," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bodo Herzog, 2020. "Whither Coronabonds? The Past and Future of the EMU in the Coronavirus Pandemic," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 55(3), pages 155-159, May.
    2. Debrun, Xavier & Masuch, Klaus & Ferrero, Guiseppe & Vansteenkiste, Isabel & Ferdinandusse, Marien & von Thadden, Leopold & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Alloza, Mario & Derouen, Chloé & Bańkowski, Krzyszto, 2021. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 273, European Central Bank.
    3. Joseph Qiu, 2020. "Pandemic risk: Impact, modeling, and transfer," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 23(4), pages 293-304, December.
    4. Janse Kalin Anev, 2023. "Developing European Safe Assets," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Sciendo, vol. 58(6), pages 315-319, December.
    5. Badarau, Cristina & Huart, Florence & Sangaré, Ibrahima, 2021. "Macroeconomic and policy implications of eurobonds," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    6. Rand Kwong Yew Low, 2018. "Vine copulas: modelling systemic risk and enhancing higher‐moment portfolio optimisation," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(S1), pages 423-463, November.
    7. Ricardo J. Caballero & Emmanuel Farhi & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, 2017. "The Safe Assets Shortage Conundrum," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 31(3), pages 29-46, Summer.
    8. Koetter, Michael & Krause, Thomas & Tonzer, Lena, 2019. "Delay determinants of European Banking Union implementation," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-20.
    9. Agnes Benassy-Quere, 2016. "Euro-Area Fiscal Stance: From Theory to Practical Implementation," CESifo Working Paper Series 6040, CESifo.
    10. Atahan Afsar; José Elías Gallegos; Richard Jaimes; Edgar Silgado Gómez & José Elías Gallegos & Richard Jaimes & Edgar Silgado Gómez, 2020. "Reconciling Empirics and Theory: The Behavioral Hybrid New Keynesian Model," Vniversitas Económica, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá, vol. 0(0), pages 1-41, December.
    11. Patrick Blagrave & Giang Ho & Ksenia Koloskova & Mr. Esteban Vesperoni, 2017. "Fiscal Spillovers: The Importance of Macroeconomic and Policy Conditions in Transmission," IMF Spillover Notes 2017/002, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Vanessa Kunzmann, 2023. "Estimating Regime Dependent Fiscal Spillover Effects in a Monetary Union," Working Papers 227, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    13. Doris Prammer & Lukas Reiss, 2018. "How to increase fiscal stabilization at the euro area level?," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q2/18, pages 111-131.
    14. Marzia Romanelli & Pietro Tommasino & Emilio VadalÃ, 2022. "The future of European fiscal governance: a comprehensive approach," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 691, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    15. Maria Coelho, 2019. "Fiscal Stimulus in a Monetary Union: Evidence from Eurozone Regions," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(3), pages 573-617, September.
    16. Bletzinger, Tilman & von Thadden, Leopold, 2021. "Designing QE in a fiscally sound monetary union," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    17. Andrea Boitani & Salvatore Perdichizzi & Chiara Punzo, 2022. "Nonlinearities and expenditure multipliers in the Eurozone [Tales of fiscal adjustment]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 31(2), pages 552-575.
    18. Carlin C. F. Chu & Simon S. W. Li, 2024. "A multiobjective optimization approach for threshold determination in extreme value analysis for financial time series," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-14, June.
    19. Assar Lindbeck & Mats Persson, 2013. "A continuous model of income insurance," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 20(6), pages 938-960, December.
    20. Pawel Siarka, 2012. "Implementation of the Stress Test Methods in the Retail Portfolio," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 2(6), pages 1-2.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Coronabond; Extreme value theory; Pandemic risk; Securitization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:fmktpm:v:37:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s11408-023-00425-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.