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Global impact of a shift in foreign reserves to euros

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  • Fritz Breuss
  • Werner Roeger
  • Jan in’t Veld

Abstract

This paper considers the potential impact of a shift in official foreign reserves from dollars to euros using a global DSGE model. This paper uses QUEST III, a multi-region global DSGE model, to study the macroeconomic effects of a gradual equalization of official foreign reserves between dollars and euros. We simulate a scenario of a shift in the composition of foreign reserves holdings from the present ratio of 65 percent dollars and 25 percent euros to equal 45 percent shares over a 10 years period. We assume imperfect substitutability between financial assets to allow this shift to have real effects. Our simulations point towards small real effects due to the reduction in real interest rates resulting from this shift in official holdings.
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  • Fritz Breuss & Werner Roeger & Jan in’t Veld, 2009. "Global impact of a shift in foreign reserves to euros," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 36(1), pages 101-122, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:empiri:v:36:y:2009:i:1:p:101-122
    DOI: 10.1007/s10663-008-9094-z
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    Cited by:

    1. Fritz Breuss, 2011. "Downsizing the Eurozone into an OCA or Entry into a Fiscal Transfer Union," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 12(4), pages 05-12, December.
    2. Fritz Breuss, 2009. "Ten Years of EMU – Achievements, Weaknesses, Challenges," Austrian Economic Quarterly, WIFO, vol. 14(1), pages 49-72, April.
    3. Harald Badinger & Fritz Breuss, 2011. "The Quantitative Effects of European Post-war Economic Integration," Chapters, in: Miroslav N. Jovanović (ed.), International Handbook on the Economics of Integration, Volume III, chapter 14, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. Fritz Breuss, 2009. "Lacking "Europeanisation" of National Business Cycles as a Risk for the Euro Area," Austrian Economic Quarterly, WIFO, vol. 14(2), pages 91-104, June.
    5. Fritz Breuss, 2011. "Downsizing the Eurozone into an OCA or Entry into a Fiscal Transfer Union," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 12(04), pages 05-12, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Globalization; Global imbalances; Reserve currency; Euro area; DSGE modelling; C68; F31; F32;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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