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Monetary policy in the euro area: Was it too tight in the 1990s?

  • Willi Semmler
  • Alfred Greiner
  • Wenlang Zhang

This paper studies the monetary policy in the euro area. An important question concerning the euro area is whether the monetary policy has been too tight in the 1990s and in turn, caused the high unemployment rates, in contrast to the economic prosperity and low unemployment rate of the U.S. Therefore, the authors explore what would have happened to the euro economy if the Central Banks had followed either the fixed or time-varying monetary policy rule of the U.S. The paper does find that the European central banks and then later the ECB overreacted to past inflation pressures. Copyright International Atlantic Economic Society 2002

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/BF02298426
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Article provided by International Atlantic Economic Society in its journal Atlantic Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 30 (2002)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Pages: 283-297

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Handle: RePEc:kap:atlecj:v:30:y:2002:i:3:p:283-297
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  1. Clarida, Richard & GalĂ­, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1997. "Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 1750, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Lars E. O. Svensson, 1996. "Inflation Forecast Targeting: Implementing and Monitoring Inflation Targets," NBER Working Papers 5797, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Taylor, John B., 1993. "Discretion versus policy rules in practice," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 195-214, December.
  4. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Lars E. O. Svensson, 1998. "Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting," NBER Working Papers 6512, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Semmler, Willi & Wohrmann, Peter, 2004. "Credit risk and sustainable debt: a model and estimations of why the Euro is stable in the long-run," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(6), pages 1145-1160, December.
  6. Gert Peersman & Frank Smets, 1999. "Uncertainty and the Taylor rule in a simple model of the Euro-area economy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  7. Beck, Gunter W. & Wieland, Volker, 2002. "Learning and control in a changing economic environment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(9-10), pages 1359-1377, August.
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