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Modelling Maritime Piracy: A Spatial Approach

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Abstract

This paper presents a model to generate dynamic patterns of maritime piracy. Model details, outputs and calibration are illustrated. The model presented here is a tool to estimate the number of pirates and their area of action. The Gulf of Aden is considered as a case study, and data on pirate attacks, vessels routes and flows through the Gulf of Aden in the year 2010 are used to build the model. Agent-based modelling is employed to simulate pirate, vessel and naval forces behaviours.

Suggested Citation

  • Elio Marchione & Shane D Johnson & Alan Wilson, 2014. "Modelling Maritime Piracy: A Spatial Approach," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 17(2), pages 1-9.
  • Handle: RePEc:jas:jasssj:2013-7-2
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    1. Marios Tsioufis & Antonios Fytopoulos & Dimitra Kalaitzi & Thomas A. Alexopoulos, 2024. "Correction to: Discovering maritime-piracy hotspots: a study based on AHP and spatio-temporal analysis," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 332(1), pages 1183-1184, January.
    2. Liang, Maohan & Li, Huanhuan & Liu, Ryan Wen & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee & Yang, Zaili, 2024. "PiracyAnalyzer: Spatial temporal patterns analysis of global piracy incidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    3. Onggo, Bhakti Stephan & Karatas, Mumtaz, 2016. "Test-driven simulation modelling: A case study using agent-based maritime search-operation simulation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 254(2), pages 517-531.
    4. Lee, Chung-Yee & Song, Dong-Ping, 2017. "Ocean container transport in global supply chains: Overview and research opportunities," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 442-474.
    5. Liu, Xiliang & Hu, Jinghong & Mei, Qiang & Wang, Shaohua, 2026. "Pirate-GPT: A locally deployed large language model framework for reliable offline anti-piracy decision support and knowledge retrieval in maritime operations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 267(PA).

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