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Convergence in Price Level among East Java's Regions

Author

Listed:
  • Rifai Afin

    (Regional Economic Development Institute (REDI))

Abstract

Penelitian ini berupaya menjelaskan konvergensi tingkat harga di wilayah Jawa Timur. Analisa konvergensi harga ini dilakukan dengan dua metode, pertama dengan metode regresi cross sectional, dan kedua dengan mempergunakan prosedur Augmented Dickey Fuller. Selain itu pengembangan metode dilakukan dengan mempergunakan teknik analisa panel yang dikembangkan oleh Levin dan Lin (1992, 1993). Hasil pengujian untuk selang periode 1983-2003 menunjukkan bahwa konvergensi inflasi tidak terjadi. Untuk periodel 1983-1993 dan 1994-2003, hasil pengujian menunjukkan arah yang sesuai dengan teori, dan signifikan. However, test using data from 1983-2003 show that inflation convergence across East Java Regions does not occur consistently over time. Separately period, 1983-1993 and 1994-2003 we found right sign and significant in total period but in small sample period, 1983-1993 and 1994-2003 we also found the right sign but insignificant. In the context of development of monetary policy, the evidence suggest if the convergence in national data of price level can bring monetary policy becoming similar across regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Rifai Afin, 2006. "Convergence in Price Level among East Java's Regions," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 8(4), pages 455-470, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:8:y:2006:i:4b:p:455-470
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v8i4.145
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R51 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Finance in Urban and Rural Economies
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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