IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/idn/journl/v28y2025i2fp293-312.html

Cryptocurrencies, Money Demand, and Monetary Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Zubair Mumtaz

    (University of Bahrain, Bahrain)

  • Zachary Alexander Smith

    (Saint Leo University, United States)

  • Naoyuki Yoshino

    (Keio University, Japan)

Abstract

This study examines the nexus between money demand and cryptocurrencies by estimating two simultaneous equations using Divisia indices as a proxy for money demand and volume traded for cryptocurrencies. The study examines the linkage between cryptocurrencies and money demand and their potential influence over monetary policy actions. It finds that the volume of cryptocurrencies traded negatively influences money demand. Moreover, we see a positive association between money demand and cryptocurrencies, implying that as the demand for money increases, the demand for cryptocurrencies increases. Further, we examine the determinates of cryptocurrencies and report that the return of cryptocurrencies, the financial development index, GDP, inflation, and stock market indices are significant predictors of the demand for cryptocurrencies.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Zubair Mumtaz & Zachary Alexander Smith & Naoyuki Yoshino, 2025. "Cryptocurrencies, Money Demand, and Monetary Policy," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 28(2), pages 293-312, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:28:y:2025:i:2f:p:293-312
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.59091/2460-9196.1722
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://bulletin.bmeb-bi.org/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1722&context=bmeb
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/https://doi.org/10.59091/2460-9196.1722?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hansen, Lars Peter, 1982. "Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 1029-1054, July.
    2. Wang, Yiming, 2011. "The stability of long-run money demand in the United States: A new approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 111(1), pages 60-63, April.
    3. Ireland, Peter N, 1995. "Endogenous Financial Innovation and the Demand for Money," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 27(1), pages 107-123, February.
    4. Samuel Enajero, 2021. "Cryptocurrency, Money Demand and the Mundell-Fleming Model of International Capital Mobility," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 49(1), pages 57-69, March.
    5. Darvas, Zsolt, 2015. "Does money matter in the euro area? Evidence from a new Divisia index," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 123-126.
    6. Donato Masciandaro, 2018. "Central Bank Digital Cash and Cryptocurrencies: Insights from a New Baumol–Friedman Demand for Money," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 51(4), pages 540-550, December.
    7. Moses K. Tule & Moses O. Oduh, 2017. "Financial innovations and the future of monetary policy in Nigeria," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(5), pages 453-476, July.
    8. Hafer, R W & Hein, Scott E, 1984. "Financial Innovations and the Interest Elasticity of Money Demand: Some Historical Evidence: A Note," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 16(2), pages 247-252, May.
    9. Ammous, Saifedean, 2018. "Can cryptocurrencies fulfil the functions of money?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 38-51.
    10. Hodrick, Robert J & Prescott, Edward C, 1997. "Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, February.
    11. G. Boyd & J. F. McDonald & M. Ross & D. A. Hanson, 1987. "Separating the Changing Composition of U.S. Manufacturing Production from Energy Efficiency Improvements: A Divisia Index Approach," The Energy Journal, , vol. 8(2), pages 77-96, April.
    12. J. Tobin, 1958. "Liquidity Preference as Behavior Towards Risk," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 25(2), pages 65-86.
    13. Guidotti, Pablo E, 1993. "Currency Substitution and Financial Innovation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 25(1), pages 109-124, February.
    14. Smith, Richard J & Blundell, Richard W, 1986. "An Exogeneity Test for a Simultaneous Equation Tobit Model with an Application to Labor Supply," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 54(3), pages 679-685, May.
    15. William A. Barnett, 2000. "Economic Monetary Aggregates: An Application of Index Number and Aggregation Theory," Contributions to Economic Analysis, in: The Theory of Monetary Aggregation, pages 11-48, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    16. K. Newey, Whitney, 1985. "Generalized method of moments specification testing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 229-256, September.
    17. repec:aen:journl:1987v08-02-a06 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2005. "Energy consumption and GDP in developing countries: A cointegrated panel analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 415-427, May.
    19. Chen, Gong-meng & Firth, Michael & Rui, Oliver M, 2001. "The Dynamic Relation between Stock Returns, Trading Volume, and Volatility," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 36(3), pages 153-173, August.
    20. William A. Barnett, 2000. "The User Cost of Money," Contributions to Economic Analysis, in: The Theory of Monetary Aggregation, pages 6-10, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    21. Geuder, Julian & Kinateder, Harald & Wagner, Niklas F., 2019. "Cryptocurrencies as financial bubbles: The case of Bitcoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Samuel Enajero, 2021. "Cryptocurrency, Money Demand and the Mundell-Fleming Model of International Capital Mobility," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 49(1), pages 57-69, March.
    2. Muhammad Z. Mumtaz & Zachary A. Smith, 2020. "Empirical examination of the role of fintech in monetary policy," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(5), pages 620-640, December.
    3. William A. Barnett & Yi Liu & Haiyang Xu & Mark Jensen, 1996. "The CAPM Risk Adjustment Needed for Exact Aggregation over Financial Assets," Econometrics 9602003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. William A. Barnett & Neepa B. Gaekwad, 2018. "The Demand for Money for EMU: a Flexible Functional Form Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 353-371, April.
    5. Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2022. "Strengthening the second pillar: a greater role for money in the ECB’s strategy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(1), pages 99-114, January.
    6. Neepa Gaekwad & William Barnett, 2024. "Multilateral Divisia monetary aggregates for the Euro area," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 44(3), pages 1224-1241.
    7. Maximilian C. Brill & Dieter Nautz & Lea Sieckmann, 2021. "Divisia monetary aggregates for a heterogeneous euro area," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(1), pages 247-278, February.
    8. Duca, John V. & VanHoose, David D., 2004. "Recent developments in understanding the demand for money," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 247-272.
    9. Bissoondeeal, Rakesh K. & Karoglou, Michail & Binner, Jane M., 2019. "Structural changes and the role of monetary aggregates in the UK," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 100-107.
    10. Anderson, Richard G. & Bordo, Michael & Duca, John V., 2017. "Money and velocity during financial crises: From the great depression to the great recession," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 32-49.
    11. El-Shagi, Makram & Tochkov, Kiril, 2022. "Shadow of the colossus: Euro area spillovers and monetary policy in Central and Eastern Europe," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    12. Mehmet Ezer, 2019. "Do Monetary Aggregates Belong In A Monetary Model? Evidence From The Uk," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(4), pages 509-530, December.
    13. Israr Ahmad Shah Hashmi & Arshad Ali Bhatti, 2019. "On the monetary measures of global liquidity," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-23, December.
    14. Hong, Puah & Leong, Choi-Meng & Mansor, Shazali & Lau, Evan, 2018. "Revisiting Money Demand in Malaysia: Simple-Sum versus Divisia Monetary Aggregates," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 52(2), pages 267-278.
    15. Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2002. "Analysing Divisia Aggregates for the Euro Area," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2002,13, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    16. Li, Yuming, 1998. "Expected stock returns, risk premiums and volatilities of economic factors1," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 69-97, June.
    17. Choi-Meng Leong & Chin-Hong Puah & Shazali Abu Mansor & Evan Lau, 2010. "Testing the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in Malaysia Using Alternative Monetary Aggregation," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 4(3), pages 321-338, August.
    18. Michael D. Bordo & John V. Duca, 2025. "Money Matters: Broad Divisia Money and the Recovery of the US Nominal GDP From the COVID‐19 Recession," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 1071-1096, April.
    19. Xu Cheng & Winston Wei Dou & Zhipeng Liao, 2022. "Macro‐Finance Decoupling: Robust Evaluations of Macro Asset Pricing Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(2), pages 685-713, March.
    20. Mehra, Yash P., 2002. "Level and growth policy rules and actual Fed policy since 1979," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 54(6), pages 575-594.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:28:y:2025:i:2f:p:293-312. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Shinta Fitrianti or Jimmy Kathon (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bigovid.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.