IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ibn/jasjnl/v8y2016i2p74.html

Climate Change and Food Production in Nigeria: Implication for Food Security in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Felix Idumah
  • Chimezie Mangodo
  • Uyinmwen Ighodaro
  • Paul Owombo

Abstract

Food production in Nigeria is largely dependent on natural environmental resources like rainfall, temperature and relative humidity. This study examined the impact of some of these climatic variables on food production in Nigeria from 1975 to 2010. Secondary time series data obtained from FAOSTAT (Food and Agriculture Organization statistics) and Nigerian Meteorological Agency were used for the study. The data were analyzed using some econometric tools such as Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test, Johansen Test and Vector Error Correction (VEC) Estimates. The ADF test reveals that relative humidity integrated at order zero level while rainfall and temperature and agricultural output were stationary after differencing at level 1 thus showing that the variables had relationship. The results of the Johansen co-integrated test revealed that there is one co-integrating equation at 5% showing a co-integrating relationship between agricultural output and the climatic variables. The Vector Error Correction Estimates indicated that rainfall was positively significant at 5% to food production on the short run indicating that vagaries in climate especially rainfall affected food production and output in Nigeria. It was recommended, therefore, that measure that could help to mitigate the adverse effects of inadequate rainfall e.g. irrigation, drought resistant crops varieties among others should be put in place by the government. Farmers should equally be sensitized and trained in the area of adaptation and mitigation of the effect of climate change as this will go a long way to ameliorate large scale failure in food production in the country.

Suggested Citation

  • Felix Idumah & Chimezie Mangodo & Uyinmwen Ighodaro & Paul Owombo, 2016. "Climate Change and Food Production in Nigeria: Implication for Food Security in Nigeria," Journal of Agricultural Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(2), pages 1-74, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:jasjnl:v:8:y:2016:i:2:p:74
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/jas/article/download/54518/30235
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/jas/article/view/54518
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2010. "Testing for cointegration using the Johansen methodology when variables are near-integrated: size distortions and partial remedies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 39(1), pages 51-76, August.
    2. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    3. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fisayo Fagbemi & Dorcas Funmilola Oke & Olawale Daniel Akinyele & Kehinde Mary Bello, 2025. "Carbon emissions and food production: why climate change is a threat to Nigeria’s food security," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 15(1), pages 101-112, March.
    2. Aboyitungiye, Jean Baptiste & Suryanto, 2025. "Vulnerability of the agriculture of Burundi to climate change: A review and linkages between climate change, food security, and food production," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 25(02), December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Haruna Issahaku & Yazidu Uztarz & Paul Bata Domanban, 2013. "Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Returns in Ghana: Any Causal Link?," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(8), pages 1044-1062, August.
    2. Josh Beverly & Shamar L. Stewart & Clinton L. Neill, 2025. "The Unemployment Invariance Hypothesis in West Virginia: A Tale of Two Indicators," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 69(3), pages 1287-1314, September.
    3. Aysit Tansel & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2018. "Unemployment invariance hypothesis, added and discouraged worker effects in Canada," International Journal of Manpower, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 39(7), pages 929-936, October.
    4. Aysit Tansel & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Emre Aksoy, 2016. "Unemployment and labour force participation in Turkey," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 184-187, February.
    5. Maixe-Altes, J. Carles & Mourelle, Estefanía, 2016. "Cash and non-cash payments in a long run perspective, Spain 1989-2014," MPRA Paper 72590, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Safet KURTOVIC & Blerim HALILI & Nehat MAXHUNI, 2017. "Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Her Trading Partner from Southeast Europe," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 75-85, March.
    7. Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2007. "A residual-based cointegration test for near unit root variables," International Finance Discussion Papers 907, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. David Knezevic & Martin Nordström & Pär Österholm, 2021. "The relation between municipal and government bond yields in an era of unconventional monetary policy," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 50(1), February.
    9. Österholm, Pär, 2010. "Unemployment and labour-force participation in Sweden," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 106(3), pages 205-208, March.
    10. Aysit Tansel & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2016. "Unemployment Invariance Hypothesis, Added and Discouraged Worker Effects in Canada?," ERC Working Papers 1717, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Dec 2017.
    11. Nan-Kuang Chen & Han-Liang Cheng, 2017. "House price to income ratio and fundamentals: Evidence on long-horizon forecastability," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 293-311, August.
    12. Tansel, Aysit & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Aksoy, Emre, 2016. "Does Unemployment Invariance Hypothesis Hold for Canada?," MPRA Paper 72869, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Bhatt, P.R., 2013. "Causal Relationship between Exports, FDI and Income: The case of Vietnam," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 13(1), pages 161-172.
    14. Roko Pedisic, 2022. "Cointegration Analysis of Financial Market Indices During Financial Shocks. Focus on Global Financial Crisis and COVID-19 ?andemic Crisis," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 9(2), pages 59-78.
    15. Aysit Tansel & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Emre Aksoy, 2016. "Unemployment and labour force participation in Turkey," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 184-187, February.
    16. Galán-Gutiérrez, Juan Antonio & Labeaga, José M. & Martín-García, Rodrigo, 2023. "Cointegration between high base metals prices and backwardation: Getting ready for the metals super-cycle," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    17. Aysit Tansel & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Emre Aksoy, 2016. "Does Unemployment Invariance Hypothesis Hold for Canada?," Working Papers 2016/3, Turkish Economic Association.
    18. Bosupeng, Mpho, 2015. "The Impossible Trinity and Financial Markets – An Examination of Inflation Volatility Spillovers," MPRA Paper 77923, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
    19. Bhatt, P.R., 2013. "China’s Exports and Foreign Direct Investment," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 13(2), pages 183-196.
    20. Jopp, Tobias A., 2017. "How does the public perceive alliances? The Central and Allied Powers in World War I," IBF Paper Series 12-17, IBF – Institut für Bank- und Finanzgeschichte / Institute for Banking and Financial History, Frankfurt am Main.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ibn:jasjnl:v:8:y:2016:i:2:p:74. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Canadian Center of Science and Education (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepflch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.