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Vulnerability of the agriculture of Burundi to climate change: A review and linkages between climate change, food security, and food production

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  • Aboyitungiye, Jean Baptiste
  • Suryanto

Abstract

[EN] Climate change critically affects food production, availability, and stability, particularly in regions that rely on subsistence agriculture. This study examines the relationship between climate variables and food security indicators in Burundi from 1990 to 2022 using a co-integration model within an Error Correction Model framework. Results reveal that precipitation positively influences food production annually but negatively in the long run. Food consumption, producer prices, and rural populations also exhibited long-run negative effects. The findings highlight the adverse impact of climate change on agricultural yields, emphasizing the need for strategies to enhance productivity, resilience, and sustainability among smallholder farmers. [ES] El cambio climático afecta críticamente la producción, disponibilidad y estabilidad de los alimentos, especialmente en regiones dependientes de la agricultura de subsistencia. Este estudio analiza la relación entre variables climáticas e indicadores de seguridad alimentaria en Burundi (1990–2022) mediante un modelo de cointegración basado en el enfoque de Corrección de Errores. Los resultados muestran que la precipitación influye positivamente en la producción anual, pero negativamente a largo plazo. El consumo de alimentos, los precios al productor y la población rural también presentan efectos negativos sostenidos. Los hallazgos evidencian el impacto adverso del cambio climático y la necesidad de fortalecer productividad, resiliencia y sostenibilidad agrícola.

Suggested Citation

  • Aboyitungiye, Jean Baptiste & Suryanto, 2025. "Vulnerability of the agriculture of Burundi to climate change: A review and linkages between climate change, food security, and food production," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 25(02), December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:earnsa:393841
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.393841
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    2. Felix Idumah & Chimezie Mangodo & Uyinmwen Ighodaro & Paul Owombo, 2016. "Climate Change and Food Production in Nigeria: Implication for Food Security in Nigeria," Journal of Agricultural Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(2), pages 1-74, January.
    3. Raïfatou Affoh & Haixia Zheng & Kokou Dangui & Badoubatoba Mathieu Dissani, 2022. "The Impact of Climate Variability and Change on Food Security in Sub-Saharan Africa: Perspective from Panel Data Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-22, January.
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