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Spatio-Temporal Impact of Global Migration on Carbon Transfers Based on Complex Network and Stepwise Regression Analysis

Author

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  • Cuixia Gao

    (School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China
    Center for Energy Development and Environmental Protection, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China)

  • Ying Zhong

    (School of Mathematics, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, China)

  • Isaac Adjei Mensah

    (Center for Energy Development and Environmental Protection, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China)

  • Simin Tao

    (Center for Energy Development and Environmental Protection, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China)

  • Yuyang He

    (School of Mechanical Engineering, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China)

Abstract

Considering the advancement of economic globalization, the reasons for migration together with the lifestyles of migrants will change the use of energy, environment of origin and destination. This study therefore explores the patterns of global trade-induced carbon emission transfers using “center-of-gravity” and complex network analysis. We further investigate the determinants of carbon transfers by integrating the impact of population migration through the STIRPAT framework for 64 countries over the period 2005–2015 using the stepwise regression approach. Our results unveil that higher levels of migration flow induce higher carbon flow. Specifically, every 1% increase in migration, triggers carbon transfers to increase within the range of 0.118–0.124%. The rising impact of migration cannot be ignored, even though the coefficients were not so high. Besides, for both male and female migrants, their impact on carbon transfers generated by the intermediate products were higher than those generated by the final products. However, the influence is more obvious in male migrants. With the aim of dividing the sample of countries into three income groups, the results generally show that the impacts of migration vary across levels of income. Therefore, the environmental pressure caused by immigration should be considered by destination countries in the formulating of migration policies. On the other hand, origin countries should take some responsibility for carbon emissions according to their development characteristics.

Suggested Citation

  • Cuixia Gao & Ying Zhong & Isaac Adjei Mensah & Simin Tao & Yuyang He, 2022. "Spatio-Temporal Impact of Global Migration on Carbon Transfers Based on Complex Network and Stepwise Regression Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-19, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:2:p:844-:d:723143
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    References listed on IDEAS

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