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Crossing Borders and Expanding Modal Shift Measures: Effects on Mode Choice and Emissions from Freight Transport in the Nordics

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel Ruben Pinchasik

    (Institute of Transport Economics, Department of Economics, N-0349 Oslo, Norway)

  • Inger Beate Hovi

    (Institute of Transport Economics, Department of Economics, N-0349 Oslo, Norway)

  • Christian Svendsen Mjøsund

    (Institute of Transport Economics, Department of Economics, N-0349 Oslo, Norway)

  • Stein Erik Grønland

    (Sitma AS, N-0213 Oslo, Norway)

  • Erik Fridell

    (IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute, Department of Transport and Department of Mobility, 41133 Gothenburg, Sweden)

  • Martin Jerksjö

    (IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute, Department of Transport and Department of Mobility, 41133 Gothenburg, Sweden)

Abstract

Considering the underachievement on modal shift and environmental objectives for freight transport, scholars and policy makers recurrently ask how more road freight can be shifted to rail and waterborne transport. The current study simulates transport and modal distribution effects for several scenarios in which modal shift policy measures are strengthened, expanded, combined, and harmonized across borders in the Nordics. Found transport effects were then used in an environmental model to assess implications for energy use and emissions of CO 2,eq , NOx, and particulate matter, gaining insights into which policy measures are more effective or complement each other, and whether international harmonization might increase effectiveness, and modal shift. From our simulations, a Norwegian ecobonus scheme for rail yields larger modal shift away from road than a similar ecobonus for sea transport. Facilitating longer freight trains yields more modal shift but has high policy costs. Effects of harmonizing policies across Nordic countries vary but can be strengthened by combining different measures. However, even for scenarios with strong policy measures, reductions in CO 2,eq emissions do not exceed 3.6% in 2030 while sometimes increasing local air pollution. Modal shift policy should therefore not exclusively be regarded as environmental strategy, although it may contribute to other policy objectives.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Ruben Pinchasik & Inger Beate Hovi & Christian Svendsen Mjøsund & Stein Erik Grønland & Erik Fridell & Martin Jerksjö, 2020. "Crossing Borders and Expanding Modal Shift Measures: Effects on Mode Choice and Emissions from Freight Transport in the Nordics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-23, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:3:p:894-:d:312927
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Vytautas Paulauskas & Ludmiła Filina-Dawidowicz & Donatas Paulauskas, 2020. "The Method to Decrease Emissions from Ships in Port Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-15, May.
    2. Johansson, Magnus & Vierth, Inge & Holmgren, Kristina & Cullinane, Kevin, 2023. "How will electrification and increased use of new fuels affect the effectiveness of freight modal shift policies?," Working Papers 2023:4, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI).
    3. Björk, Lisa & Vierth, Inge & Cullinane, Kevin, 2023. "Freight modal shift: A means or an objective in achieving lower emission targets? The case of Sweden," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 125-136.
    4. Marta Gonzalez-Aregall & Kevin Cullinane & Inge Vierth, 2021. "A Review of Port Initiatives to Promote Freight Modal Shifts in Europe: Evidence from Port Governance Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, May.
    5. Olaf Jonkeren & Klaas Friso & Lourentz Hek, 2023. "Changes in external costs and infrastructure costs due to modal shift in freight transport in North-western Europe," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-40, December.
    6. Steffen Jaap Bakker & E. Ruben van Beesten & Ingvild Synn{o}ve Brynildsen & Anette Sandvig & Marit Siqveland & Asgeir Tomasgard, 2023. "STraM: a framework for strategic national freight transport modeling," Papers 2304.14001, arXiv.org.
    7. Sara Rogerson & Vendela Santén & Uni Sallnäs, 2021. "The Influence of Power and Trust on the Initiation and Duration of Modal Shift Solutions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-19, March.

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