Socio-Ecological Outcomes of Forest Landscape Mutations in the Congo Basin: Learning from Cameroon

Globally, the mutations around forest landscapes continue to draw significant scientific interest, despite fragmented evidence on the socio-ecological outcomes linked to this process. This knowledge gap is evident in the Congo Basin—one of the world’s major ecosystems. To contribute towards addressing the knowledge gap, this study analyzed two decades of forest landscape mutations and the socio-ecological transformation-cum-outcomes linked to the process in Cameroon. A mixed-methods approach was employed, combining remote sensing-based land use/land cover (LULC) analysis (using multi-date Landsat imagery at 30 m resolution) with household surveys involving 100 randomly selected forest-dependent households across three forest blocks: Ebo, Ndokbou, and Makombé for ground truthing. Survey data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and combined spatial analysis to reveal the following. Firstly, forest cover has significantly increased within the 20-year period; this involved a 104.01% increase between 2004 and 2014, and an additional 47.27% between 2014 and 2024. In that vein, agricultural land declined by more than 20%, whereas settlement and water bodies increased by 226.4% and 376.2%, respectively. Secondly, forest landscape mutations in the Yabassi Forest Area were primarily driven by a convergence of social (notably population growth at 57% and livelihood diversification), economic (agricultural expansion and timber exploitation), political (tenure ambiguity and development-driven land conversion), and environmental (climate variability at 36% and ecological restoration efforts) forces. These interwoven drivers shaped the land use change process, revealing how the human-environment feedback defines landscape trajectories in complex and non-linear ways. Thirdly, while the ecological outcomes of forest mutations were largely positive—with significant gains in forest cover, the social outcomes were skewed towards the negative. Communities experienced both improvements in livelihoods and infrastructure (66%), but also faced land conflicts (67%), the loss of traditional access (69%), and resource-based insecurity. By applying the socio-ecological systems (SES) framework, this study provides novel insights on how governance, ecological processes, and human behavior co-evolve in forest landscapes. The findings do not only edify the SES framework but also challenge the mainstream position about forest decline by highlighting areas of recovery. The evidence informs adaptive forest governance processes in the Congo Basin and similar contexts. Further research should investigate the institutional and adaptive mechanisms that influence these dynamics across the Congo Basin.