IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v14y2025i4p741-d1624207.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Urban Resilience Against Disasters: A Dual Perspective of Urban Systems and Resilience Capacities

Author

Listed:
  • Ruoyi Zhang

    (College of Architecture and Environment, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China)

  • Jiawen Zhou

    (State Key Laboratory of Hydraulics and Mountain River Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China
    College of Water Resource and Hydropower, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China)

  • Fei Sun

    (College of Architecture and Environment, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China)

  • Hanyu Xu

    (College of Architecture and Environment, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China)

  • Huige Xing

    (College of Architecture and Environment, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China)

Abstract

With the global increase in disaster risks, enhancing urban resilience has become a critical strategy for risk mitigation and sustainable development. This study develops a two-dimensional indicator framework based on urban systems and resilience capacity from the perspective of the disaster management cycle and applies an improved CRITIC-TOPSIS method to evaluate the resilience levels of the Chengdu–Chongqing urban agglomeration, China. The spatiotemporal evolution of urban resilience from 2010 to 2022 is systematically examined. Furthermore, the dynamics of urban resilience transitions are investigated using a spatial Markov chain model, and the driving factors behind the spatial distribution of resilience are explored through the Geo-detector method. The results indicate the following: (1) Comprehensive resilience demonstrated a steady upward trend during the study period, with Chengdu and Chongqing, as core cities, driving regional resilience improvement and reducing disparities within the urban agglomeration. (2) Significant spatial heterogeneity was observed in the distribution of the comprehensive resilience index and the indices of individual resilience dimensions. (3) The Markov chain analysis revealed a distinct “club convergence” pattern in the dynamic transitions of resilience levels, with development trends closely tied to spatial factors. (4) The Geo-detector model analysis highlighted that infrastructure development and technological innovation exert long-term and substantial impacts on resilience improvement. These findings provide valuable insights for enhancing resilience and promoting sustainable development in the Chengdu–Chongqing region and other similar urban systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruoyi Zhang & Jiawen Zhou & Fei Sun & Hanyu Xu & Huige Xing, 2025. "Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Urban Resilience Against Disasters: A Dual Perspective of Urban Systems and Resilience Capacities," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-30, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:14:y:2025:i:4:p:741-:d:1624207
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/4/741/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/4/741/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fleisher, Belton & Li, Haizheng & Zhao, Min Qiang, 2010. "Human capital, economic growth, and regional inequality in China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 215-231, July.
    2. Vinod Thomas & Jose Albert & Cameron Hepburn, 2014. "Contributors to the frequency of intense climate disasters in Asia-Pacific countries," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 126(3), pages 381-398, October.
    3. Shepero, Mahmoud & Munkhammar, Joakim, 2018. "Spatial Markov chain model for electric vehicle charging in cities using geographical information system (GIS) data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 1089-1099.
    4. Mendizabal, Maddalen & Heidrich, Oliver & Feliu, Efren & García-Blanco, Gemma & Mendizabal, Alaitz, 2018. "Stimulating urban transition and transformation to achieve sustainable and resilient cities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 410-418.
    5. Guoqiang Tian & Xudong Chen, 2022. "Four Major Reforms in China Since the Modern Times," Springer Books, in: China’s Reform: History, Logic, and Future, chapter 0, pages 27-43, Springer.
    6. Dormady, Noah & Roa-Henriquez, Alfredo & Rose, Adam, 2019. "Economic resilience of the firm: A production theory approach," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 446-460.
    7. Huang, Jinbo & Ding, Ashley & Li, Yong & Lu, Dong, 2020. "Increasing the risk management effectiveness from higher accuracy: A novel non-parametric method," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    8. Amarasinghe, Upali & Samad, Madar & Anputhas, Markandu, 2005. "Spatial clustering of rural poverty and food insecurity in Sri Lanka," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 30(5-6), pages 493-509.
    9. Datola, Giulia & Bottero, Marta & De Angelis, Elena & Romagnoli, Francesco, 2022. "Operationalising resilience: A methodological framework for assessing urban resilience through System Dynamics Model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 465(C).
    10. Xun Zeng & Yuanchun Yu & San Yang & Yang Lv & Md Nazirul Islam Sarker, 2022. "Urban Resilience for Urban Sustainability: Concepts, Dimensions, and Perspectives," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-27, February.
    11. Chen Zhang & Yangfan Li & Xiaodong Zhu, 2016. "A Social-Ecological Resilience Assessment and Governance Guide for Urbanization Processes in East China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-18, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yanjie Liu & Cheng Xiang, 2024. "A Comprehensive Framework for Evaluating Bridge Resilience: Safety, Social, Environmental, and Economic Perspectives," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-22, January.
    2. Qing Li & Long Hai Vo, 2021. "Intangible Capital and Innovation: An Empirical Analysis of Vietnamese Enterprises," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 21-02, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    3. Yao Zhao & Xuena Kong & Mahmood Ahmad & Zahoor Ahmed, 2023. "Digital Economy, Industrial Structure, and Environmental Quality: Assessing the Roles of Educational Investment, Green Innovation, and Economic Globalization," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-24, January.
    4. Matthias Klumpp & Dominic Loske, 2021. "Sustainability and Resilience Revisited: Impact of Information Technology Disruptions on Empirical Retail Logistics Efficiency," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-20, May.
    5. Jing Li & Tsun Se Cheong & Jianfa Shen & Dahai Fu, 2019. "Urbanization And Rural–Urban Consumption Disparity: Evidence From China," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 64(04), pages 983-996, September.
    6. Zhou, Yixiao & Tyers, Rod, 2019. "Automation and inequality in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    7. Anping Chen & Nicolaas Groenewold, 2017. "An increase in the retirement age in China: the regional economic effects," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(7), pages 702-721, February.
    8. Andrea Pontiggia & Lala Hu & Marco Savorgnan, 2013. "ChinaÕs Human Resources Development: Recent Evolution and Implications for the Global Market," Working Papers 29, Venice School of Management - Department of Management, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia.
    9. Felix Roth & Anna-Elisabeth Thum, 2022. "Intangible Capital and Labor Productivity Growth: Panel Evidence for the EU from 1998–2005," Contributions to Economics, in: Intangible Capital and Growth, chapter 0, pages 101-128, Springer.
    10. Zhang, Xiaobei & Wang, Xiaojun, 2021. "Measures of human capital and the mechanics of economic growth," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    11. Yong He & Hong Zhou, 2011. "Estimating Chinese Interprovincial OutPut Spillovers with Provincial Input-Output Tables," CERDI Working papers halshs-00553102, HAL.
    12. Alexander Pfeiffer & Cameron Hepburn, 2016. "Facing the Challenge of Climate Change," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 8(2), pages 201-215, May.
    13. Daniela Smiraglia & Luca Salvati & Gianluca Egidi & Rosanna Salvia & Antonio Giménez-Morera & Rares Halbac-Cotoara-Zamfir, 2021. "Toward a New Urban Cycle? A Closer Look to Sprawl, Demographic Transitions and the Environment in Europe," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-14, January.
    14. Wenxiao WANG & Shandre THANGAVELU, 2024. "Urban Agglomeration, Firm Performance, and Global Value Chain in China," Working Papers DP-2024-14, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    15. Andrew W. Stevens & Jim Teal, 2024. "Diversification and resilience of firms in the agrifood supply chain," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 106(2), pages 739-778, March.
    16. Ivan Blečić & Arnaldo Cecchini & Emanuel Muroni & Valeria Saiu & Serafino Scanu & Giuseppe Andrea Trunfio, 2023. "Addressing Peripherality in Italy: A Critical Comparison between Inner Areas and Territorial Capital-Based Evaluations," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-14, January.
    17. Murat G. Kırdar & Meltem Dayıoğlu & İsmet Koç, 2016. "Does Longer Compulsory Education Equalize Schooling by Gender and Rural/Urban Residence?," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 30(3), pages 549-579.
    18. Antonio Zavala-Alcívar & María-José Verdecho & Juan-José Alfaro-Saiz, 2020. "A Conceptual Framework to Manage Resilience and Increase Sustainability in the Supply Chain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-38, August.
    19. Liu, Tie-Ying & Su, Chi-Wei, 2021. "Is transportation improving urbanization in China?," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    20. UNESCO Publishing, 2015. "The Economic Cost of Out-of-School Children in Southeast Asia," Working Papers id:7651, eSocialSciences.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:14:y:2025:i:4:p:741-:d:1624207. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.