IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v15y2018i4p780-d141650.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Air Pollution Forecasts: An Overview

Author

Listed:
  • Lu Bai

    (School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China)

  • Jianzhou Wang

    (School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China)

  • Xuejiao Ma

    (School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China)

  • Haiyan Lu

    (Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Technology, Sydney, NSW 2007, Australia)

Abstract

Air pollution is defined as a phenomenon harmful to the ecological system and the normal conditions of human existence and development when some substances in the atmosphere exceed a certain concentration. In the face of increasingly serious environmental pollution problems, scholars have conducted a significant quantity of related research, and in those studies, the forecasting of air pollution has been of paramount importance. As a precaution, the air pollution forecast is the basis for taking effective pollution control measures, and accurate forecasting of air pollution has become an important task. Extensive research indicates that the methods of air pollution forecasting can be broadly divided into three classical categories: statistical forecasting methods, artificial intelligence methods, and numerical forecasting methods. More recently, some hybrid models have been proposed, which can improve the forecast accuracy. To provide a clear perspective on air pollution forecasting, this study reviews the theory and application of those forecasting models. In addition, based on a comparison of different forecasting methods, the advantages and disadvantages of some methods of forecasting are also provided. This study aims to provide an overview of air pollution forecasting methods for easy access and reference by researchers, which will be helpful in further studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Lu Bai & Jianzhou Wang & Xuejiao Ma & Haiyan Lu, 2018. "Air Pollution Forecasts: An Overview," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-44, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:15:y:2018:i:4:p:780-:d:141650
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/15/4/780/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/15/4/780/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jianzhou Wang & Tong Niu & Rui Wang, 2017. "Research and Application of an Air Quality Early Warning System Based on a Modified Least Squares Support Vector Machine and a Cloud Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-33, March.
    2. Adams, R. M. & Crocker, T. D. & Thanavibulchai, N., 1982. "An economic assessment of air pollution damages to selected annual crops in Southern California," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 42-58, March.
    3. Nur Rahman & Muhammad Lee & Suhartono & Mohd Latif, 2015. "Artificial neural networks and fuzzy time series forecasting: an application to air quality," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 49(6), pages 2633-2647, November.
    4. Shahram Kaboodvandpour & Jamil Amanollahi & Samira Qhavami & Bakhtiyar Mohammadi, 2015. "Assessing the accuracy of multiple regressions, ANFIS, and ANN models in predicting dust storm occurrences in Sanandaj, Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(2), pages 879-893, September.
    5. Catalano, Mario & Galatioto, Fabio & Bell, Margaret & Namdeo, Anil & Bergantino, Angela S., 2016. "Improving the prediction of air pollution peak episodes generated by urban transport networks," Environmental Science & Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 69-83.
    6. Wang, Jianzhou & Heng, Jiani & Xiao, Liye & Wang, Chen, 2017. "Research and application of a combined model based on multi-objective optimization for multi-step ahead wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 591-613.
    7. Wang, Jianzhou & Jiang, Haiyan & Zhou, Qingping & Wu, Jie & Qin, Shanshan, 2016. "China’s natural gas production and consumption analysis based on the multicycle Hubbert model and rolling Grey model," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1149-1167.
    8. Hufang Yang & Zaiping Jiang & Haiyan Lu, 2017. "A Hybrid Wind Speed Forecasting System Based on a ‘Decomposition and Ensemble’ Strategy and Fuzzy Time Series," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-30, September.
    9. Alistair Hunt & Julia Ferguson & Fintan Hurley & Alison Searl, 2016. "Social Costs of Morbidity Impacts of Air Pollution," OECD Environment Working Papers 99, OECD Publishing.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xinyue Mo & Lei Zhang & Huan Li & Zongxi Qu, 2019. "A Novel Air Quality Early-Warning System Based on Artificial Intelligence," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-25, September.
    2. Hung-Ta Wen & Jau-Huai Lu & Deng-Siang Jhang, 2021. "Features Importance Analysis of Diesel Vehicles’ NO x and CO 2 Emission Predictions in Real Road Driving Based on Gradient Boosting Regression Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(24), pages 1-28, December.
    3. Chih‐Hsuan Wang & Chia‐Rong Chang, 2023. "Forecasting air quality index considering socioeconomic indicators and meteorological factors: A data granularity perspective," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(5), pages 1261-1274, August.
    4. Nikolay Rashevskiy & Natalia Sadovnikova & Tatyana Ereshchenko & Danila Parygin & Alexander Ignatyev, 2023. "Atmospheric Ecology Modeling for the Sustainable Development of the Urban Environment," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-24, February.
    5. Hone-Jay Chu & Muhammad Zeeshan Ali, 2020. "Establishment of Regional Concentration–Duration–Frequency Relationships of Air Pollution: A Case Study for PM 2.5," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-13, February.
    6. Shankar Subramaniam & Naveenkumar Raju & Abbas Ganesan & Nithyaprakash Rajavel & Maheswari Chenniappan & Chander Prakash & Alokesh Pramanik & Animesh Kumar Basak & Saurav Dixit, 2022. "Artificial Intelligence Technologies for Forecasting Air Pollution and Human Health: A Narrative Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-36, August.
    7. Emanoel L. R. Costa & Taiane Braga & Leonardo A. Dias & Édler L. de Albuquerque & Marcelo A. C. Fernandes, 2022. "Analysis of Atmospheric Pollutant Data Using Self-Organizing Maps," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-24, August.
    8. Le Thi Nhu Ngoc & Minjeong Kim & Vu Khac Hoang Bui & Duckshin Park & Young-Chul Lee, 2018. "Particulate Matter Exposure of Passengers at Bus Stations: A Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-20, December.
    9. Ping Liu & Mengchu Xie & Jing Bian & Huishan Li & Liangliang Song, 2020. "A Hybrid PSO–SVM Model Based on Safety Risk Prediction for the Design Process in Metro Station Construction," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-24, March.
    10. Je-Liang Liou & Pei-Ing Wu, 2021. "Monetary Health Co-Benefits and GHG Emissions Reduction Benefits: Contribution from Private On-the-Road Transport," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(11), pages 1-19, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jiang, Ping & Yang, Hufang & Heng, Jiani, 2019. "A hybrid forecasting system based on fuzzy time series and multi-objective optimization for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 786-801.
    2. Wu, Chunying & Wang, Jianzhou & Chen, Xuejun & Du, Pei & Yang, Wendong, 2020. "A novel hybrid system based on multi-objective optimization for wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 149-165.
    3. Yuewei Liu & Shenghui Zhang & Xuejun Chen & Jianzhou Wang, 2018. "Artificial Combined Model Based on Hybrid Nonlinear Neural Network Models and Statistics Linear Models—Research and Application for Wind Speed Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-30, December.
    4. Hufang Yang & Zaiping Jiang & Haiyan Lu, 2017. "A Hybrid Wind Speed Forecasting System Based on a ‘Decomposition and Ensemble’ Strategy and Fuzzy Time Series," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-30, September.
    5. Sharafian, Amir & Talebian, Hoda & Blomerus, Paul & Herrera, Omar & Mérida, Walter, 2017. "A review of liquefied natural gas refueling station designs," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 503-513.
    6. Lanzi, Elisa & Dellink, Rob & Chateau, Jean, 2018. "The sectoral and regional economic consequences of outdoor air pollution to 2060," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 89-113.
    7. Vladimír Konečný & Jozef Gnap & Tomáš Settey & František Petro & Tomáš Skrúcaný & Tomasz Figlus, 2020. "Environmental Sustainability of the Vehicle Fleet Change in Public City Transport of Selected City in Central Europe," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-23, July.
    8. L. (Lisa B.) Ryan & Andrew J. Kelly & Ivan Petrov & Yulu Guo & Sarah La Monaca, 2018. "An Assessment of the Social Costs and Benefits of Vehicle Tax Reform in Ireland," Open Access publications 10197/9906, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    9. Rao, Congjun & Zhang, Yue & Wen, Jianghui & Xiao, Xinping & Goh, Mark, 2023. "Energy demand forecasting in China: A support vector regression-compositional data second exponential smoothing model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
    10. Zonggui Yao & Chen Wang, 2018. "A Hybrid Model Based on A Modified Optimization Algorithm and An Artificial Intelligence Algorithm for Short-Term Wind Speed Multi-Step Ahead Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-33, May.
    11. Bergantino, Angela S. & Intini, Mario & Percoco, Marco, 2021. "New car taxation and its unintended environmental consequences," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 36-48.
    12. Kailai Ni & Jianzhou Wang & Guangyu Tang & Danxiang Wei, 2019. "Research and Application of a Novel Hybrid Model Based on a Deep Neural Network for Electricity Load Forecasting: A Case Study in Australia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-30, June.
    13. Wang, Yun & Zou, Runmin & Liu, Fang & Zhang, Lingjun & Liu, Qianyi, 2021. "A review of wind speed and wind power forecasting with deep neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    14. Zhang, Lifang & Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Xinsong & Liu, Zhenkun, 2021. "Ensemble wind speed forecasting with multi-objective Archimedes optimization algorithm and sub-model selection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    15. Wang, Jianzhou & Huang, Xiaojia & Li, Qiwei & Ma, Xuejiao, 2018. "Comparison of seven methods for determining the optimal statistical distribution parameters: A case study of wind energy assessment in the large-scale wind farms of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 432-448.
    16. Li, Nu & Wang, Jianliang & Wu, Lifeng & Bentley, Yongmei, 2021. "Predicting monthly natural gas production in China using a novel grey seasonal model with particle swarm optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(PA).
    17. Yang, Hufang & Jiang, Ping & Wang, Ying & Li, Hongmin, 2022. "A fuzzy intelligent forecasting system based on combined fuzzification strategy and improved optimization algorithm for renewable energy power generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 325(C).
    18. Hou, Hui & Xu, Tao & Wu, Xixiu & Wang, Huan & Tang, Aihong & Chen, Yangyang, 2020. "Optimal capacity configuration of the wind-photovoltaic-storage hybrid power system based on gravity energy storage system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    19. Tonglin Fu & Chen Wang, 2018. "A Hybrid Wind Speed Forecasting Method and Wind Energy Resource Analysis Based on a Swarm Intelligence Optimization Algorithm and an Artificial Intelligence Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-24, October.
    20. Xiaoqian Guo & Qiang Yan & Anjian Wang, 2017. "Assessment of Methods for Forecasting Shale Gas Supply in China Based on Economic Considerations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-14, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:15:y:2018:i:4:p:780-:d:141650. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.