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K pøíèinám mìnových krizí - empirie a teorie

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  • Mojmír Helísek

Abstract

The article summarizes recognized empirical knowledge about the causes of currency crises, making use of several extensive empirical studies carried out in the late 1990s, and examines select theoretical models of such causation. The results are divided into three levels of causes: general risk conditions, fundamental causes, and immediate triggers. There are two types of theoretical models: one derived from the fundamental causes of crises and one based on self-fulfilling expectations of devaluation. The concept of the eclectic form of the causes of crises prevails in the literature over the idea of „pure“ self-fulfilling expectations. Clustering of crises are explained either by their common causes or by contagion from business and/or financial channels.

Suggested Citation

  • Mojmír Helísek, 2002. "K pøíèinám mìnových krizí - empirie a teorie," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 52(9), pages 458-477, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:fau:fauart:v:52:y:2002:i:9:p:458-477
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Graciela Kaminsky & Saul Lizondo & Carmen M. Reinhart, 1998. "Leading Indicators of Currency Crises," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 45(1), pages 1-48, March.
    2. Krugman, Paul, 1979. "A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(3), pages 311-325, August.
    3. Maurice Obstfeld, 1994. "The Logic of Currency Crises," NBER Working Papers 4640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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