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La hipótesis del preparatoriano suertudo: Nuevo León desde una perspectiva comparativa

Author

Listed:
  • Alejandro Miguel Castañeda-Valencia

    (Benemérita Universidad Autónoma de Puebla)

  • Sylvia Beatriz Guillermo Peón

    (Benemérita Universidad Autónoma de Puebla)

  • Juan Enrique Huerta Wong

    (Coordinación de Comunicación Social, Gobierno de México)

Abstract

Este artículo aborda la influencia de la educación superior y el estatus socioeconómico parental sobre la probabilidad de que la descendencia tenga un destino socioeconómico alto en tres áreas de residencia de México: Región Sur, Ciudad de México y Nuevo León. Estimando un modelo probit estructural con variables instrumentales (y con datos de dos encuestas ESRU-EMOVI), encontramos que la educación superior incrementa la probabilidad de un individuo de posicionarse en el tercer tercil de bienestar y que los premios en probabilidad asociados a la educación van en oposición a la reproducción social. Nuestros resultados rechazan lo que llamamos “hipótesis del preparatoriano suertudo”. En Nuevo León, las probabilidades de un destino alto son mayores que en la Ciudad de México o la Región Sur. Sin embargo, en Nuevo León, los premios en probabilidad asociados a la educación superior son menores que en la Ciudad de México o en el sur y muestran una pequeña dependencia del origen socioeconómico, y por tanto menor reproducción social. En oposición, los premios en probabilidad asociados a la educación superior son mayores en el sur.

Suggested Citation

  • Alejandro Miguel Castañeda-Valencia & Sylvia Beatriz Guillermo Peón & Juan Enrique Huerta Wong, 2024. "La hipótesis del preparatoriano suertudo: Nuevo León desde una perspectiva comparativa," Ensayos Revista de Economía, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, vol. 43(3), pages 161-213, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:43:y:2024:i:3:id:319
    DOI: 10.29105/ensayos_esp1.1-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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