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Classical business cycles in Latin America: Turning points, asimmetries and international synchronisation

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  • Pablo Mejía-Reyes

    (El Colegio Mexiquense, University of Manchester)

Abstract

A classical business cycles approach is applied to study turning points, asymmetries and international synchronization of business cycle regimes (expansion/recession) for several Latin American countries. The results suggest that recessions are characterized by deeper change, less persistence, and greater volatility than expansions. However, existing evidence about intra-regional economic transactions suggests that these associations might be explained by similar economic policies and common external shocks.

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  • Pablo Mejía-Reyes, 1999. "Classical business cycles in Latin America: Turning points, asimmetries and international synchronisation," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 14(2), pages 265-297.
    • Handle: RePEc:emx:esteco:v:14:y:1999:i:2:p:265-297
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    2. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose & Marco E. Terrones, 2011. "Recessions and Financial Disruptions in Emerging Markets: A Bird’s Eye View," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Luis Felipe Céspedes & Roberto Chang & Diego Saravia (ed.),Monetary Policy under Financial Turbulence, edition 1, volume 16, chapter 4, pages 059-104, Central Bank of Chile.
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2007. "Mexico: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2007/378, International Monetary Fund.
    4. David Jaume, 2018. "The Labor Market Effects of an Educational Expansion. A Theoretical Model with Applications to Brazil," CEDLAS, Working Papers 0220, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.
    5. Marcelle Chauvet & Elcyon C. R. Lima & Brisne Vasquez, 2002. "Forecasting Brazilian output in the presence of breaks: a comparison of linear and nonlinear models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2002-28, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    6. Luciana Juvenal & Mr. Rodolphe Blavy, 2008. "Mexico’s Integration into NAFTA Markets: A View from Sectoral Real Exchange Rates and Transaction Costs," IMF Working Papers 2008/123, International Monetary Fund.
    7. David Jose Jaume, 2017. "The Labor Market Effects of an Educational Expansion. A Theoretical Model with Applications to Brazil," 2017 Papers pja468, Job Market Papers.

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