IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ucp/jnlbus/v67y1994i1p97-131.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dating Turning Points in the Business Cycle

Author

Listed:
  • Boldin, Michael D

Abstract

The author reviews and evaluates procedures for dating peaks and troughs of the business cycle. Five different methods are judged on their historical performance, age of replication, clarity, timeliness, flexibility, and the validity of underlying assumptions. In addition, the author examines the 1990-92 period in detail where two newer dating methods are especially insightful because they use statistically rigorous methods to derive turning point probabilities and, thereby, the inherent uncertainty in the data can be recognized. The author also concludes that additional research is needed on this topic to resolve some important controversies about business-cycle characteristics. Copyright 1994 by University of Chicago Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Boldin, Michael D, 1994. "Dating Turning Points in the Business Cycle," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 67(1), pages 97-131, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:67:y:1994:i:1:p:97-131
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/296625
    File Function: full text
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to JSTOR subscribers. See http://www.jstor.org for details.

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:67:y:1994:i:1:p:97-131. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Journals Division). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/JB/ .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.