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Prueba de causalidad y determinación de la NAIRU

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  • Bellod Redondo, José Francisco

    (Universidad de Murcia, España)

Abstract

In this paper we study the NAIRU conception and its determination for Spanish economy since 1976 to 1997. It’s a very important conception in actual Macroeconomics but there are strong controversies about it. We have linked it with other important conception –causality- and we have applied the Granger Causality test and Sims Causality test to NAIRU series trying to clarificate that controversies. Main results point that there isn’t causal relationship from NAIRU to inflation acceleration.// En este artículo estudiamos el concepto de NAIRU y su determinación para la economía española en el periodo 1976-1997. Se trata de un concepto de gran importancia en la macroeconomía actual, aunque existen grandes controversias acerca de su viabilidad. Hemos ligado este concepto a otro de no menos importancia- la causalidad- y para ello hemos aplicado las pruebas de causalidad de Granger y de Sims a las series de la NAIRU previamente determinadas con el fin de esclarecer tales controversias. Los resultados apuntan en la dirección de inexistencia de relación causal entre la NAIRU y la aceleración de la inflación.

Suggested Citation

  • Bellod Redondo, José Francisco, 1999. "Prueba de causalidad y determinación de la NAIRU," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 66(264), pages 663-692, octubre-d.
    • Handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:66:y:1999:i:264:p:663-692
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gómez García, F. & Rebollo Sanz, Y. & Usabiaga Ibáñez, C., 2002. "Nuevas estimaciones de la NAIRU de la economía española: métodos directos," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 20, pages 509-530, Diciembre.
    2. Dionisio Ramirez & Gabriel Rodr¨ªguez, 2014. "Do Labor Reforms in Spain Have an Effect on the Equilibrium Unemployment Rate?," International Journal of Social Science Studies, Redfame publishing, vol. 2(1), pages 105-120, January.
    3. José Francisco Bellod Redondo, 2011. "La función de producción de Cobb-Douglas y la economía española," Revista de Economia Critica, Asociacion de Economia Critica, vol. 12, pages 9-38.

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