IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transe/v148y2021ics1366554521000429.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of demand uncertainty reduction on the selection of financing approach in a capital-constrained supply chain

Author

Listed:
  • Shi, Jia
  • Li, Qiang
  • Chu, Lap Keung
  • Shi, Yuan

Abstract

This study investigates how demand uncertainty reduction (DUR) affects the decisional dynamics within a supply chain, which comprises a supplier and a capital-constrained retailer, who chooses between bank credit and trade credit financing. A comprehensive scenario analysis suggests the retailer should accept trade credit when DUR is high, trade credit risk premium is moderate, and wholesale price is exogenous and low. However, the retailer should adopt trade credit only when both DUR and production cost are not high, and wholesale price is set endogenously. We further relax the assumption on the bank’s risk attitude and find most results still hold.

Suggested Citation

  • Shi, Jia & Li, Qiang & Chu, Lap Keung & Shi, Yuan, 2021. "Effects of demand uncertainty reduction on the selection of financing approach in a capital-constrained supply chain," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:148:y:2021:i:c:s1366554521000429
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2021.102266
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1366554521000429
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tre.2021.102266?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Onur Boyabatlı & L. Beril Toktay, 2011. "Stochastic Capacity Investment and Flexible vs. Dedicated Technology Choice in Imperfect Capital Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(12), pages 2163-2179, December.
    2. Quansheng Lei & Zhelian Xu & Siqi Yang, 2019. "Research on Trade Credit and Bank Credit Based on Dynamic Inventory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-29, June.
    3. Francis de Véricourt & Denis Gromb, 2018. "Financing Capacity Investment Under Demand Uncertainty: An Optimal Contracting Approach," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 20(1), pages 85-96, February.
    4. Tang, Ruihong & Yang, Lei, 2020. "Impacts of financing mechanism and power structure on supply chains under cap-and-trade regulation," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    5. Li, Shuai & Cai, Hubo, 2017. "Government incentive impacts on private investment behaviors under demand uncertainty," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 115-129.
    6. Li, Bo & An, Si-min & Song, Dong-ping, 2018. "Selection of financing strategies with a risk-averse supplier in a capital-constrained supply chain," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 163-183.
    7. Meng Li & Nicholas C. Petruzzi, 2017. "Technical Note—Demand Uncertainty Reduction in Decentralized Supply Chains," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 26(1), pages 156-161, January.
    8. Baozhuang Niu & Zongbao Zou, 2017. "Better Demand Signal, Better Decisions? Evaluation of Big Data in a Licensed Remanufacturing Supply Chain with Environmental Risk Considerations," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(8), pages 1550-1565, August.
    9. Mike Burkart & Tore Ellingsen, 2004. "In-Kind Finance: A Theory of Trade Credit," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(3), pages 569-590, June.
    10. Cao, Erbao & Du, Lingxia & Ruan, Junhu, 2019. "Financing preferences and performance for an emission-dependent supply chain: Supplier vs. bank," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 383-399.
    11. Jin, Wei & Zhang, Qinhong & Luo, Jianwen, 2019. "Non-collaborative and collaborative financing in a bilateral supply chain with capital constraints," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 210-222.
    12. Hua, Shengya & Liu, Jingchen & Cheng, T.C.E. & Zhai, Xin, 2019. "Financing and ordering strategies for a supply chain under the option contract," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 100-121.
    13. Matthew Rabin, 1998. "Psychology and Economics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 36(1), pages 11-46, March.
    14. Arunachalam, Deepak & Kumar, Niraj & Kawalek, John Paul, 2018. "Understanding big data analytics capabilities in supply chain management: Unravelling the issues, challenges and implications for practice," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 416-436.
    15. Lai, Guoming & Debo, Laurens G. & Sycara, Katia, 2009. "Sharing inventory risk in supply chain: The implication of financial constraint," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 811-825, August.
    16. Julia Miyaoka & Warren H. Hausman, 2008. "How Improved Forecasts Can Degrade Decentralized Supply Chains," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 10(3), pages 547-562, July.
    17. Wang, Di & Liu, Weihua & Shen, Xinran & Wei, Wanying, 2019. "Service order allocation under uncertain demand: Risk aversion, peer competition, and relationship strength," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 293-311.
    18. Choi, Tsan-Ming & Luo, Suyuan, 2019. "Data quality challenges for sustainable fashion supply chain operations in emerging markets: Roles of blockchain, government sponsors and environment taxes," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 139-152.
    19. Wang, Fan & Yang, Xiao & Zhuo, Xiaopo & Xiong, Minghua, 2019. "Joint logistics and financial services by a 3PL firm: Effects of risk preference and demand volatility," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 312-328.
    20. Begen, Mehmet A. & Pun, Hubert & Yan, Xinghao, 2016. "Supply and demand uncertainty reduction efforts and cost comparison," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 125-134.
    21. Bai, Tian & Wu, Meng & Zhu, Stuart X., 2019. "Pricing and ordering by a loss averse newsvendor with reference dependence," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 343-365.
    22. John A. Buzacott & Rachel Q. Zhang, 2004. "Inventory Management with Asset-Based Financing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1274-1292, September.
    23. T-M Choi & D Li & H Yan, 2003. "Optimal two-stage ordering policy with Bayesian information updating," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 54(8), pages 846-859, August.
    24. Peter Brooks & Horst Zank, 2005. "Loss Averse Behavior," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 301-325, December.
    25. Volodymyr Babich & Panos Kouvelis, 2018. "Introduction to the Special Issue on Research at the Interface of Finance, Operations, and Risk Management (iFORM): Recent Contributions and Future Directions," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 20(1), pages 1-18, February.
    26. Huang, Jing & Yang, Wensheng & Tu, Yiliu, 2020. "Financing mode decision in a supply chain with financial constraint," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    27. Gregory E. Elliehausen & John D. Wolken, 1993. "The demand for trade credit: an investigation of motives for trade credit use by small businesses," Staff Studies 165, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    28. Fleischhacker, Adam J. & Fok, Pak-Wing, 2015. "On the relationship between entropy, demand uncertainty, and expected loss," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 245(2), pages 623-628.
    29. Yigal Gerchak & David Mossman, 1992. "On the Effect of Demand Randomness on Inventories and Costs," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 40(4), pages 804-807, August.
    30. Brennan, Michael J & Maksimovic, Vojislav & Zechner, Josef, 1988. " Vendor Financing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 43(5), pages 1127-1141, December.
    31. Bing Xia & Richard Y. K. Fung & Ju'e Guo, 2018. "Quality Investing and Pricing Strategies by Startups: Impacts of Demand Uncertainties and Capital Constraint," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-13, September.
    32. Xu, Minghui & Chen, Youhua (Frank) & Xu, Xiaolin, 2010. "The effect of demand uncertainty in a price-setting newsvendor model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 946-957, December.
    33. Heikki Peura & S. Alex Yang & Guoming Lai, 2017. "Trade Credit in Competition: A Horizontal Benefit," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 263-289, May.
    34. Terry A. Taylor & Wenqiang Xiao, 2010. "Does a Manufacturer Benefit from Selling to a Better-Forecasting Retailer?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(9), pages 1584-1598, September.
    35. Wei Jin & Jianwen Luo, 2017. "Optimal inventory and insurance decisions for a supply chain financing system with downside risk control," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(1), pages 63-80, January.
    36. Chen, Xiangfeng, 2015. "A model of trade credit in a capital-constrained distribution channel," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 347-357.
    37. Rothschild, Michael & Stiglitz, Joseph E., 1970. "Increasing risk: I. A definition," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 2(3), pages 225-243, September.
    38. Alain Yee Loong Chong & Eugene Ch’ng & Martin J. Liu & Boying Li, 2017. "Predicting consumer product demands via Big Data: the roles of online promotional marketing and online reviews," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(17), pages 5142-5156, September.
    39. Jinzhao Shi & Richard Y. K. Fung & Ju’e Guo, 2016. "Optimal Ordering and Pricing Policies for Seasonal Products: Impacts of Demand Uncertainty and Capital Constraint," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2016, pages 1-13, November.
    40. Tsan-Ming Choi, 2018. "Impacts of retailer’s risk averse behaviors on quick response fashion supply chain systems," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 268(1), pages 239-257, September.
    41. Xu, Song & Fang, Lei, 2020. "Partial credit guarantee and trade credit in an emission-dependent supply chain with capital constraint," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    42. Zhen, Xueping & Shi, Dan & Li, Yongjian & Zhang, Chu, 2020. "Manufacturer’s financing strategy in a dual-channel supply chain: Third-party platform, bank, and retailer credit financing," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    43. Desheng Wu & Baofeng Zhang & Opher Baron, 2019. "A Trade Credit Model with Asymmetric Competing Retailers," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 28(1), pages 206-231, January.
    44. Panos Kouvelis & Wenhui Zhao, 2012. "Financing the Newsvendor: Supplier vs. Bank, and the Structure of Optimal Trade Credit Contracts," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(3), pages 566-580, June.
    45. Shi, Jinzhao & Guo, Ju'e & Du, Qiang & Lin, Feng & Lai, Kin Keung & Cheng, T.C.E., 2020. "Optimal financing mode selection for a capital-constrained retailer under an implicit bankruptcy cost," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jiang, Wen-Hui & Xu, Ling & Chen, Zhen-Song & Govindan, Kannan & Chin, Kwai-Sang, 2022. "Financing equilibrium in a capital constrained supply Chain: The impact of credit rating," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    2. Liu, Jie & Yang, Yang & Yu, Yugang, 2021. "Ordering and interest rate strategies in platform finance with an overconfident and commerce retailer," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    3. Tang, Ting & Xu, Haiyan & Ke, Ginger Y. & Chen, Kebing, 2022. "Analyzing financing and encroachment strategies for a capital-constrained contract manufacturer," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    4. Rath, Sambit Brata & Basu, Preetam & Mandal, Prasenjit & Paul, Samit, 2021. "Financing models for an online seller with performance risk in an E-commerce marketplace," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    5. Jiang, Zhong-Zhong & Feng, Guangqi & Yi, Zelong & Lu, Weida, 2022. "Raising funds through crowdfunding for a capital-constrained servicing manufacturer," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    6. Zhong, Yuanguang & Yang, Tong & Zillmann, Stefan & Cao, Bin, 2022. "The role of government regulatory policies in financing capital-constrained retailers under competition," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jiang, Wen-Hui & Xu, Ling & Chen, Zhen-Song & Govindan, Kannan & Chin, Kwai-Sang, 2022. "Financing equilibrium in a capital constrained supply Chain: The impact of credit rating," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    2. Wang, Wei & Feng, Lipan & Li, Yongjian & Xu, Fangchao & Deng, Qianzhou, 2020. "Role of financial leasing in a capital-constrained service supply chain," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    3. Yang, Yang & Liu, Jie & Hu, Taizhong, 2023. "Capital allocation and pricing decisions under trade credit with time-sensitive stochastic demand," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    4. Qin, Juanjuan & Fu, Huiping & Wang, Ziping & Xia, Liangjie, 2021. "Financing and carbon emission reduction strategies of capital-constrained manufacturers in E-commerce supply chains," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    5. Deng, Sijing & Fu, Ke & Xu, Jiayan & Zhu, Kaijie, 2021. "The supply chain effects of trade credit under uncertain demands," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    6. Lai, Zhixuan & Lou, Gaoxiang & Ma, Haicheng & Chung, Sai-Ho & Wen, Xin & Fan, Tijun, 2022. "Optimal green supply chain financing strategy: Internal collaborative financing and external investments," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    7. Yang, Honglin & Zhuo, Wenyan & Shao, Lusheng & Talluri, Srinivas, 2021. "Mean-variance analysis of wholesale price contracts with a capital-constrained retailer: Trade credit financing vs. bank credit financing," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 294(2), pages 525-542.
    8. Kajjoune, Oussama & Aouam, Tarik & Zouadi, Tarik & Ranjan, Ravi Prakash, 2023. "Dynamic lot-sizing in a two-stage supply chain with liquidity constraints and financing options," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    9. Li, Yanhai & Gu, Chaocheng & Ou, Jinwen, 2020. "Supporting a financially constrained supplier under spectral risk measures: The efficiency of buyer lending," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    10. Shi, Jinzhao & Liu, Dian & Du, Qiang & Cheng, T.C.E., 2023. "The role of the procurement commitment contract in a low-carbon supply chain with a capital-constrained supplier," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    11. Yuan, Xiaoyong & Bi, Gongbing & Fei, Yalei & Liu, Lindong, 2021. "Supply chain with random yield and financing," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    12. Bo Li & Zijia Du & Minxue Wang, 2022. "Financing preference and the role of credit insurance in a green supply chain," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(8), pages 3882-3897, December.
    13. Rath, Sambit Brata & Basu, Preetam & Mandal, Prasenjit & Paul, Samit, 2021. "Financing models for an online seller with performance risk in an E-commerce marketplace," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    14. Xie, Xiaofeng & Shi, Xinyu & Gu, Jing & Xu, Xun, 2023. "Examining the Contagion Effect of Credit Risk in a Supply Chain under Trade Credit and Bank Loan Offering," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    15. Bi, Chen & Zhang, Baofeng & Yang, Feng & Wang, Yifan & Bi, Gongbing, 2022. "Selling to the newsvendor through debt-shared bank financing," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 296(1), pages 116-130.
    16. Xu, Song & Fang, Lei, 2020. "Partial credit guarantee and trade credit in an emission-dependent supply chain with capital constraint," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    17. Wang, Jing & Wang, Kai & Li, Xiang & Zhao, Ruiqing, 2022. "Suppliers’ trade credit strategies with transparent credit ratings: Null, exclusive, and nonchalant provision," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(1), pages 153-163.
    18. Liu, Jie & Yang, Yang & Yu, Yugang, 2021. "Ordering and interest rate strategies in platform finance with an overconfident and commerce retailer," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    19. Yang, Yang & Liu, Jie, 2023. "Price timing and financing strategies for a capital-constrained supply chain with price-dependent stochastic demand," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    20. Heikki Peura & S. Alex Yang & Guoming Lai, 2017. "Trade Credit in Competition: A Horizontal Benefit," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 263-289, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:148:y:2021:i:c:s1366554521000429. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600244/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.