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Development of an indicator to assess the spatial fit of discrete choice models

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  • Páez, Antonio
  • López, Fernando A.
  • Ruiz, Manuel
  • Morency, Catherine

Abstract

Discrete choice models are increasingly implemented using geographical data. When this is the case, it may not be sufficient to project market shares accurately, but also to correctly replicate the spatial pattern of choices. Analysts might then be interested in assessing the results of a model’s fit relative to the spatial distribution of the observed responses. While canonical approaches exist for the exploratory spatial analysis of continuous variables, similar tools have not been widely implemented for discrete choice models, where the variable of interest is categorical. For this reason, despite recent progress with spatial models for discrete outcomes, there is still not a simple and intuitive tool to assess the quality of the spatial fit of a discrete choice model. The objective of this paper is to introduce a new indicator of spatial fit that can be applied to the results of discrete choice models. Utility of the indicator is explored by means of numerical experiments and then demonstrated by means of a case study of vehicle ownership in Montreal, Canada.

Suggested Citation

  • Páez, Antonio & López, Fernando A. & Ruiz, Manuel & Morency, Catherine, 2013. "Development of an indicator to assess the spatial fit of discrete choice models," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 217-233.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:56:y:2013:i:c:p:217-233
    DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2013.08.009
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    1. Chen, T. Donna & Wang, Yiyi & Kockelman, Kara M., 2015. "Where are the electric vehicles? A spatial model for vehicle-choice count data," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 181-188.
    2. Hankach, Pierre & Gastineau, Pascal & Vandanjon, Pierre-Olivier, 2022. "Multi-scale spatial analysis of household car ownership using distance-based Moran's eigenvector maps: Case study in Loire-Atlantique (France)," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).

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