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Are stock returns still mean-reverting?

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  • Mukherji, Sandip

Abstract

This study uses a powerful nonparametric block bootstrap method and fresh data to examine the unresolved issue of mean reversion in stock returns. The results show that both large and small company stocks experienced significant mean reversion in returns for periods of 1 through 5 years during 1926-1966. In 1967-2007, there was significant mean reversion in 5-year returns of large company stocks, and 1-, 4-, and 5-year returns of small company stocks. The findings indicate that, although mean reversion in stock returns has weakened in recent decades, it persists, particularly for small company stocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Mukherji, Sandip, 2011. "Are stock returns still mean-reverting?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 22-27, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:revfin:v:20:y:2011:i:1:p:22-27
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. McQueen, Grant, 1992. "Long-Horizon Mean-Reverting Stock Prices Revisited," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(01), pages 1-18, March.
    8. Richardson, Matthew & Smith, Tom, 1991. "Tests of Financial Models in the Presence of Overlapping Observations," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 4(2), pages 227-254.
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:bor:bistre:v:17:y:2017:i:3:p:178-189 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Huffman, Stephen P. & Moll, Cliff R., 2013. "An examination of the relation between asymmetric risk measures, prior returns and expected daily stock returns," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 8-19.
    3. Ghada Abbas, 2014. "Testing Random Walk Behavior in the Damascus Securities Exchange," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 4(4), pages 317-325, October.
    4. Buckley, Winston S. & Long, Hongwei, 2015. "A discontinuous mispricing model under asymmetric information," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(3), pages 944-955.
    5. repec:eee:quaeco:v:68:y:2018:i:c:p:103-117 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Isabelle Le Breton-Miller & Danny Miller, 2015. "The paradox of resource vulnerability: Considerations for organizational curatorship," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 397-415, March.
    7. Giulio Bottazzi & Pietro Dindo & Daniele Giachini, 2018. "Momentum and Reversal in Financial Markets with Persistent Heterogeneity," LEM Papers Series 2018/04, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.

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