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Organization capital and analysts’ forecasts

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  • Kim, Hyun-Dong
  • Park, Kwangwoo
  • Song, Kyojik Roy

Abstract

We conjecture that a firm’s organization capital increases its information complexity and has an adverse effect on the accuracy of analysts’ earnings. Using data on analysts’ reports for U.S. firms, we find that analysts’ forecasts are likely to be more biased and less accurate when they cover high organization-capital firms. Our results further indicate that analysts tend to issue more optimistic forecasts for firms with higher organization capital due to the uncertain and positive effect of organization capital on firm value. Overall, our findings suggest that a firm’s organization capital is associated with analysts’ bias and accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Hyun-Dong & Park, Kwangwoo & Song, Kyojik Roy, 2021. "Organization capital and analysts’ forecasts," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 762-778.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:71:y:2021:i:c:p:762-778
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2020.10.009
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Organization capital; Analysts’ forecast error; Information complexity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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