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User acceptance of long distance bus services in Germany

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  • Burgdorf, Christian
  • Eisenkopf, Alexander
  • Knorr, Andreas

Abstract

Since the liberalization of intercity bus services in Germany in 2013 the intercity bus market has seen tremendous growth (and concentration). Herein, we attempt to assess its long-term market potential. However, as the bus market had been completely regulated for decades, only limited data on user behaviour and revealed preferences currently exists. Our paper wants to contribute to closing this research gap. We conducted a representative survey for Germany in spring 2014 to collect data on actual and potential users of intercity bus services. Our paper presents the most relevant results of this survey and investigates the passenger acceptance of long distance bus services by potential and effective users. We want to show how users evaluate bus services in comparison to alternative modes (rail services, aircraft or use of passenger cars). The analysis distinguishes between different travel purposes and distance. In particular, we examine travel purposes (business trips, holiday and leisure trips), distance, and modal characteristics (e.g. price, quality, speed) as key determinants of modal choice to assess the potential for modal shift from rail, plane, and private car towards intercity bus services. In addition, we also consider habituated behaviour as another determinant of modal choice.

Suggested Citation

  • Burgdorf, Christian & Eisenkopf, Alexander & Knorr, Andreas, 2018. "User acceptance of long distance bus services in Germany," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 270-283.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:69:y:2018:i:c:p:270-283
    DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2018.07.023
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bataille, Marc & Steinmetz, Alexander, 2013. "Intermodal competition on some routes in transportation networks: The case of inter urban buses and railways," DICE Discussion Papers 84, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE).
    2. Dargay, Joyce M. & Clark, Stephen, 2012. "The determinants of long distance travel in Great Britain," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 576-587.
    3. Knorr, Andreas & Lueg-Arndt, Andreas, 2016. "Intercity bus deregulation in Germany – Intramodal and intermodal effects after two years," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 323-329.
    4. Schneider, Robert J., 2013. "Theory of routine mode choice decisions: An operational framework to increase sustainable transportation," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 128-137.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Laurent Guihéry, 2019. "Long Distance Coach Services in France and Germany: the new European competition between Flixbus and BlaBlaBus," Post-Print halshs-02374703, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Intercity bus services in Germany; Travel behaviour; Transport choice; Modal choice; Modal shift;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L92 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Railroads and Other Surface Transportation
    • K23 - Law and Economics - - Regulation and Business Law - - - Regulated Industries and Administrative Law
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

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