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Application of an advanced real options approach for renewable energy generation projects planning

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  • Martínez-Ceseña, E.A.
  • Mutale, J.

Abstract

Nowadays, there is growing interest in renewable energy (RE) generation projects due to environmental and sustainability concerns. However, initial costs and uncertainties caused by RE source variability, changes in support schemes, and other factors can render RE projects unattractive when subject to conventional financial assessment. Initial research suggests that the value of RE projects can be enhanced by the application of real options (RO) theory in the planning and evaluation of such projects. Literature on application of RO planning in RE generation projects is limited, and typically focuses solely on flexible investment decisions and neglects flexible designs. A more comprehensive approach should address flexibility in designs. This paper proposes an advanced RO methodology for RE generation projects planning, and illustrates the methodology using variations of a hydropower case study. The fundamental differences between advanced RO approaches and other techniques are illustrated on a simple case study. The complete version of the proposed advanced methodology is then compared against other available tools. The results show higher expected profits for projects planned with the advanced RO methodology.

Suggested Citation

  • Martínez-Ceseña, E.A. & Mutale, J., 2011. "Application of an advanced real options approach for renewable energy generation projects planning," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 2087-2094, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:15:y:2011:i:4:p:2087-2094
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. repec:eee:rensus:v:74:y:2017:i:c:p:602-615 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Zeng, Yaxiong & Klabjan, Diego & Arinez, Jorge, 2015. "Distributed solar renewable generation: Option contracts with renewable energy credit uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 295-305.
    3. Wang, Xingwei & Cai, Yanpeng & Dai, Chao, 2014. "Evaluating China's biomass power production investment based on a policy benefit real options model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 751-761.
    4. Kucsera, Dénes & Rammerstorfer, Margarethe, 2014. "Regulation and grid expansion investment with increased penetration of renewable generation," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 184-200.
    5. repec:eee:rensus:v:74:y:2017:i:c:p:1379-1393 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Hu, Yu & Solana, Pablo, 2013. "Optimization of a hybrid diesel-wind generation plant with operational options," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 364-372.
    7. Dalton, Gordon & Allan, Grant & Beaumont, Nicola & Georgakaki, Aliki & Hacking, Nick & Hooper, Tara & Kerr, Sandy & O’Hagan, Anne Marie & Reilly, Kieran & Ricci, Pierpaolo & Sheng, Wanan & Stallard, T, 2015. "Economic and socio-economic assessment methods for ocean renewable energy: Public and private perspectives," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 850-878.
    8. Andreas Welling, 2017. "Green Finance: Recent developments, characteristics and important actors," FEMM Working Papers 170002, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    9. Santos, Lúcia & Soares, Isabel & Mendes, Carla & Ferreira, Paula, 2014. "Real Options versus Traditional Methods to assess Renewable Energy Projects," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 588-594.
    10. Wu, Zhongqun & Sun, Hongxia, 2015. "Behavior of Chinese enterprises in evaluating wind power projects: A review based on survey," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 133-142.
    11. repec:eee:rensus:v:75:y:2017:i:c:p:354-367 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Fernandes, Bartolomeu & Cunha, Jorge & Ferreira, Paula, 2011. "The use of real options approach in energy sector investments," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(9), pages 4491-4497.
    13. Zhang, Mingming & Zhou, Dequn & Zhou, Peng, 2014. "A real option model for renewable energy policy evaluation with application to solar PV power generation in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 944-955.
    14. repec:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:1:p:257-:d:127993 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Zhang, M.M. & Zhou, D.Q. & Zhou, P. & Chen, H.T., 2017. "Optimal design of subsidy to stimulate renewable energy investments: The case of China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 873-883.
    16. Aida Arik, 2017. "Residential Battery Systems and the Best Time to Invest A case study of Hawaii," Working Papers 2017-9, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
    17. Lee, Shun-Chung, 2011. "Using real option analysis for highly uncertain technology investments: The case of wind energy technology," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(9), pages 4443-4450.
    18. Sisodia, Gyanendra Singh & Soares, Isabel & Ferreira, Paula, 2016. "Modeling business risk: The effect of regulatory revision on renewable energy investment - The Iberian case," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 303-313.
    19. repec:eee:rensus:v:80:y:2017:i:c:p:180-196 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Schachter, J.A. & Mancarella, P., 2016. "A critical review of Real Options thinking for valuing investment flexibility in Smart Grids and low carbon energy systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 261-271.
    21. repec:eee:rensus:v:75:y:2017:i:c:p:918-926 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Kim, Kyung-Taek & Lee, Deok-Joo & Park, Sung-Joon, 2014. "Evaluation of R&D investments in wind power in Korea using real option," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 335-347.
    23. Martín-Barrera, Gonzalo & Zamora-Ramírez, Constancio & González-González, José M., 2016. "Application of real options valuation for analysing the impact of public R&D financing on renewable energy projects: A company′s perspective," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 292-301.
    24. Lin, Boqiang & Wesseh, Presley K., 2013. "Valuing Chinese feed-in tariffs program for solar power generation: A real options analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 474-482.
    25. repec:eee:rensus:v:74:y:2017:i:c:p:1394-1404 is not listed on IDEAS

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