IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v221y2022ics0951832022000461.html

Research on quantitative risk assessment of fuel leak of LNG-fuelled ship during lock transition process

Author

Listed:
  • Xie, Cheng
  • Huang, Liwen
  • Wang, Rui
  • Deng, Jian
  • Shu, Yaqing
  • Jiang, Dan

Abstract

As a clean and efficient new maritime fuel, the strict emission standards worldwide recently have been stimulating the use of Liquefied nature gas (LNG), leading a great increase in the number of LNG-fuelled ship. Due to the hazard characteristics of freezing and flammability after release inside a ship lock, it may cause fire and explosion consequence which may threaten the safety of people and lock structure, the research on quantitative risk assessment (QRA) of fuel leakage during lockage is urgently needed in the safety management of LNG-powered ship and ship lock. This paper proposes an integrated QRA model for analysing the fuel leakage risk during lockage of LNG-fuelled ship, and the QRA process based on the world's largest lock Three Gorges lock is performed including the risk identification, probability calculation and consequence modelling. The results show that the individual risks (IRs) of LNG-fuelled ship during lockage is within the negligible area, and the main threat of LNG leakage is heat radiation rather than overpressure. The research results of the study can provide theoretical support in policy-making process of LNG-fuelled ship and ship lock.

Suggested Citation

  • Xie, Cheng & Huang, Liwen & Wang, Rui & Deng, Jian & Shu, Yaqing & Jiang, Dan, 2022. "Research on quantitative risk assessment of fuel leak of LNG-fuelled ship during lock transition process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:221:y:2022:i:c:s0951832022000461
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2022.108368
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832022000461
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108368?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wenjie Li & Dawei Wang & Shengfa Yang & Wei Yang, 2021. "Three Gorges Project: benefits and challenges for shipping development in the upper Yangtze River," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(5), pages 758-771, September.
    2. Sharafian, Amir & Blomerus, Paul & Mérida, Walter, 2019. "Natural gas as a ship fuel: Assessment of greenhouse gas and air pollutant reduction potential," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 332-346.
    3. Xie, Shuyi & Dong, Shaohua & Chen, Yinuo & Peng, Yujie & Li, Xincai, 2021. "A novel risk evaluation method for fire and explosion accidents in oil depots using bow-tie analysis and risk matrix analysis method based on cloud model theory," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    4. Balcombe, Paul & Staffell, Iain & Kerdan, Ivan Garcia & Speirs, Jamie F. & Brandon, Nigel P. & Hawkes, Adam D., 2021. "How can LNG-fuelled ships meet decarbonisation targets? An environmental and economic analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shi, Jihao & Li, Junjie & Tam, Wai Cheong & Gardoni, Paolo & Usmani, Asif Sohail, 2025. "Physics_GNN: Towards Physics-informed graph neural network for the real-time simulation of obstructed gas explosion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    2. Agnieszka A. Tubis & Emilia T. Skupień & Stefan Jankowski & Jacek Ryczyński, 2022. "Risk Assessment of Human Factors of Logistic Handling of Deliveries at an LNG Terminal," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-24, April.
    3. Luan, Tianyi & Gai, Wenmei & Sun, Diange & Dong, Hao, 2025. "Emergency evacuation risk assessment for toxic gas attacks in airport terminals: Model, algorithm, and application," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    4. Deng, Wanyi & Ma, Xiaoxue & Qiao, Weiliang, 2024. "A novel methodology to quantify the impact of safety barriers on maritime operational risk based on a probabilistic network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    5. Lilli, Giordano & Sanavia, Matteo & Oboe, Roberto & Vianello, Chiara & Manzolaro, Mattia & De Ruvo, Pasquale Luca & Andrighetto, Alberto, 2024. "A semi-quantitative risk assessment of remote handling operations on the SPES Front-End based on HAZOP-LOPA," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    6. Fan, Ailong & Xiong, Yuqi & Yang, Liu & Zhang, Haiying & He, Yapeng, 2023. "Carbon footprint model and low–carbon pathway of inland shipping based on micro–macro analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bilgili, Levent, 2023. "A systematic review on the acceptance of alternative marine fuels," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    2. Jang, Hayoung & Jeong, Byongug & Zhou, Peilin & Ha, Seungman & Nam, Dong, 2021. "Demystifying the lifecycle environmental benefits and harms of LNG as marine fuel," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    3. Barone, Giovanni & Buonomano, Annamaria & Del Papa, Gianluca & Giuzio, Giovanni Francesco & Maka, Robert & Palombo, Adolfo & Russo, Giuseppe, 2026. "Pathways to maritime decarbonisation: analysing alternative fuels across vessel classes," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    4. Fan, Ailong & Wang, Junteng & He, Yapeng & Perčić, Maja & Vladimir, Nikola & Yang, Liu, 2021. "Decarbonising inland ship power system: Alternative solution and assessment method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    5. Ma, Weikai & Wang, Yanfu & Xing, Peijie & Yang, Ming, 2025. "A Monte Carlo-based modeling method for the spatial-temporal evolution process of multi-hazard and higher-order domino effect," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    6. Alessia Amato & Konstantina Tsigkou & Alessandro Becci & Francesca Beolchini & Nicolò M. Ippolito & Francesco Ferella, 2023. "Life Cycle Assessment of Biomethane vs. Fossil Methane Production and Supply," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-18, June.
    7. Park, Chybyung & Jeong, Byongug & Zhou, Peilin, 2022. "Lifecycle energy solution of the electric propulsion ship with Live-Life cycle assessment for clean maritime economy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    8. Li, Weijun & Sun, Qiqi & Zhang, Jiwang & Zhang, Laibin, 2024. "Quantitative risk assessment of industrial hot work using Adaptive Bow Tie and Petri Nets," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    9. Hongjun Fan & Hossein Enshaei & Shantha Gamini Jayasinghe, 2022. "Formation of Dataset for Fuzzy Quantitative Risk Assessment of LNG Bunkering SIMOPs," Data, MDPI, vol. 7(5), pages 1-13, May.
    10. Vinicius Andrade dos Santos & Patrícia Pereira da Silva & Luís Manuel Ventura Serrano, 2022. "The Maritime Sector and Its Problematic Decarbonization: A Systematic Review of the Contribution of Alternative Fuels," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-30, May.
    11. Sun, Bin, 2026. "Geographic information system-based urban community fire danger evaluation method fusing evidential reasoning and intelligent optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    12. Kim, Jun-Soo & Choi, Jae-Hyuk, 2023. "Feasibility study on bio-heavy fuel as an alternative for marine fuel," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(P2).
    13. Razieh Doregar Zavareh & Tooraj Dana & Emad Roayaei & Seyed Massoud Monavari & Seyed Ali Jozi, 2022. "The Environmental Risk Assessment of Fire and Explosion in Storage Tanks of Petroleum Products," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-17, August.
    14. Xie, Shuyi & Huang, Zimeng & Wu, Gang & Luo, Jinheng & Li, Lifeng & Ma, Weifeng & Wang, Bohong, 2024. "Combining precursor and Cloud Leaky noisy-OR logic gate Bayesian network for dynamic probability analysis of major accidents in the oil depots," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    15. Seyed Behbood Issa-Zadeh & Claudia Lizette Garay-Rondero, 2025. "Decarbonizing Seaport Maritime Traffic: Finding Hope," World, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-19, April.
    16. Yang, Xun & Tsoulakos, Nikolaos & Xiao, Zhe & Wei, Xiaoyang & Fu, Xiuju & Yan, Ran, 2025. "Estimation of shipping emissions from maritime big data: A comprehensive review and prospective," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    17. Ali Saleh Alammary, 2022. "How to Decide the Proportion of Online to Face-to-Face Components of a Blended Course? A Delphi Study," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(4), pages 21582440221, November.
    18. Tang, Yujun & Liu, Jinbao & Liu, Min & Feng, Jinfeng & Deng, Kangyao & Zhu, Sipeng & Bai, Shuzhan & Li, Guoxiang, 2025. "Numerical studies on a novel air path design featured with the sequential turbocharging and the low-pressure exhaust gas recirculation for the marine two-stroke engine fulfilling the IMO Tier Ⅲ regulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    19. Shaohua Hu & Meixian Qu & Youcui Yuan & Zhenkai Pan, 2024. "Coupling cloud theory and concept hierarchy construction early warning thresholds for deformation safety of tailings dam," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(9), pages 8827-8849, July.
    20. Wang, Xueyang & Sun, Xiumei & Ahmad, Mahmood & Zhang, Haotian, 2023. "Does low carbon energy transition impede air pollution? Evidence from China's coal-to-gas policy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:221:y:2022:i:c:s0951832022000461. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.