IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v208y2021ics0951832020308577.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dynamic resilience assessment of the Marine LNG offloading system

Author

Listed:
  • Hu, Jinqiu
  • Khan, Faisal
  • Zhang, Laibin

Abstract

The liquefied natural gas (LNG) offloading process from a floating platform to a tanker can be a high-risk operation. It consists of LNG being transferred in hostile environments through offloading arms into an LNG carrier, which then transports the LNG to onshore facilities. During the carrier's offloading process at LNG-FSRU or onshore terminals, it again involves the weather-related risk that may result in an accident such as leakage or unplanned shutdown. Therefore, it is critical to identify how these weather-related risk factors affect marine LNG offloading systems and how they can adapt to or mitigate any adverse impacts. This paper proposed a framework to analyze marine LNG offloading systems' dynamic resilience considering weather-related hazards based on IRML (Infrastructure Resilience-Oriented Modelling Language). Two key contributions of the present work are consideration of the weather factors in affecting the system failure modes, process operation, human performance, maintenance measures, as well as monitoring and safety control system, and consideration of dynamic characteristics of system resilience as a function of time. The case study's detailed results provide a time-dependent analysis of the system to resist the disturbances by internal buffering and swift recovery from the failure.

Suggested Citation

  • Hu, Jinqiu & Khan, Faisal & Zhang, Laibin, 2021. "Dynamic resilience assessment of the Marine LNG offloading system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:208:y:2021:i:c:s0951832020308577
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107368
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832020308577
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107368?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yarveisy, Rioshar & Gao, Chuan & Khan, Faisal, 2020. "A simple yet robust resilience assessment metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    2. Kammouh, Omar & Gardoni, Paolo & Cimellaro, Gian Paolo, 2020. "Probabilistic framework to evaluate the resilience of engineering systems using Bayesian and dynamic Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    3. Adjetey-Bahun, Kpotissan & Birregah, Babiga & Châtelet, Eric & Planchet, Jean-Luc, 2016. "A model to quantify the resilience of mass railway transportation systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 1-14.
    4. Francis, Royce & Bekera, Behailu, 2014. "A metric and frameworks for resilience analysis of engineered and infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 90-103.
    5. Xu, Zhaoping & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose Emmanuel & Liu, Yu & Xiahou, Tangfan, 2020. "A new resilience-based component importance measure for multi-state networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    6. Navarre, David & Palanque, Philippe & Barboni, Eric & Ladry, Jean-François & Martinie, Célia, 2011. "Designing for resilience to hardware failures in interactive systems: A model and simulation-based approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 38-52.
    7. Reggiani, Aura, 2013. "Network resilience for transport security: Some methodological considerations," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 63-68.
    8. Brian Sauser & Clifton Baldwin & Saba Pourreza & Wesley Randall & David Nowicki, 2018. "Resilience of small- and medium-sized enterprises as a correlation to community impact: an agent-based modeling approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 90(1), pages 79-99, January.
    9. Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Barker, Kash & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E., 2016. "A review of definitions and measures of system resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 47-61.
    10. Woods, David D., 2015. "Four concepts for resilience and the implications for the future of resilience engineering," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 5-9.
    11. Li, Gengfeng & Bie, Zhaohong & Kou, Yu & Jiang, Jiangfeng & Bettinelli, Mattia, 2016. "Reliability evaluation of integrated energy systems based on smart agent communication," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 397-406.
    12. Gama Dessavre, Dante & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E. & Barker, Kash, 2016. "Multidimensional approach to complex system resilience analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 34-43.
    13. Henry, Devanandham & Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez, Jose, 2012. "Generic metrics and quantitative approaches for system resilience as a function of time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 114-122.
    14. Terje Aven, 2011. "On Some Recent Definitions and Analysis Frameworks for Risk, Vulnerability, and Resilience," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(4), pages 515-522, April.
    15. Jianxi Gao & Baruch Barzel & Albert-László Barabási, 2016. "Universal resilience patterns in complex networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 530(7590), pages 307-312, February.
    16. Zhao, S. & Liu, X. & Zhuo, Y., 2017. "Hybrid Hidden Markov Models for resilience metrics in a dynamic infrastructure system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 84-97.
    17. Paltrinieri, Nicola & Tugnoli, Alessandro & Cozzani, Valerio, 2015. "Hazard identification for innovative LNG regasification technologies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 18-28.
    18. Ana Cruz & Elisabeth Krausmann, 2013. "Vulnerability of the oil and gas sector to climate change and extreme weather events," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(1), pages 41-53, November.
    19. Barker, Kash & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose Emmanuel & Rocco, Claudio M., 2013. "Resilience-based network component importance measures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 89-97.
    20. Xu, Feifei & Si, Shubin & Duan, Dongli & Lv, Changchun & Xie, Junlan, 2019. "Dynamical resilience of networks against targeted attack," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 528(C).
    21. Righi, Angela Weber & Saurin, Tarcisio Abreu & Wachs, Priscila, 2015. "A systematic literature review of resilience engineering: Research areas and a research agenda proposal," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 142-152.
    22. Yusta, Jose M. & Correa, Gabriel J. & Lacal-Arántegui, Roberto, 2011. "Methodologies and applications for critical infrastructure protection: State-of-the-art," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(10), pages 6100-6119, October.
    23. Vanem, Erik & Antão, Pedro & Østvik, Ivan & de Comas, Francisco Del Castillo, 2008. "Analysing the risk of LNG carrier operations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(9), pages 1328-1344.
    24. Chengpeng Wan & Zaili Yang & Di Zhang & Xinping Yan & Shiqi Fan, 2018. "Resilience in transportation systems: a systematic review and future directions," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(4), pages 479-498, July.
    25. Landegren, Finn & Höst, Martin & Möller, Peter, 2018. "Simulation based assessment of resilience of two large-scale socio-technical IT networks," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 112-125.
    26. Adnan Sarwar & Faisal Khan & Majeed Abimbola & Lesley James, 2018. "Resilience Analysis of a Remote Offshore Oil and Gas Facility for a Potential Hydrocarbon Release," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(8), pages 1601-1617, August.
    27. Filippini, Roberto & Silva, Andrés, 2014. "A modeling framework for the resilience analysis of networked systems-of-systems based on functional dependencies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 82-91.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bhardwaj, U. & Teixeira, A.P. & Guedes Soares, C., 2022. "Casualty analysis methodology and taxonomy for FPSO accident analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    2. Bhardwaj, U. & Teixeira, A.P. & Guedes Soares, C. & Ariffin, A.K. & Singh, S.S., 2021. "Evidence based risk analysis of fire and explosion accident scenarios in FPSOs," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    3. Wu, Jingyi & Yu, Yang & Yu, Jianxing & Chang, Xueying & Xu, Lixin & Zhang, Wenhao, 2023. "A Markov resilience assessment framework for tension leg platform under mooring failure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    4. Hossain, Eklas & Roy, Shidhartho & Mohammad, Naeem & Nawar, Nafiu & Dipta, Debopriya Roy, 2021. "Metrics and enhancement strategies for grid resilience and reliability during natural disasters," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    5. Sun, Hao & Wang, Haiqing & Yang, Ming & Reniers, Genserik, 2022. "A STAMP-based approach to quantitative resilience assessment of chemical process systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    6. Magoua, Joseph Jonathan & Li, Nan, 2023. "The human factor in the disaster resilience modeling of critical infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    7. Ramadhani, Adhitya & Khan, Faisal & Colbourne, Bruce & Ahmed, Salim & Taleb-Berrouane, Mohammed, 2022. "Resilience assessment of offshore structures subjected to ice load considering complex dependencies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    8. Jian Guo & Jun Wang & Baikang Zhu & Bingyuan Hong & Cuicui Li & Jianhui He, 2022. "A Risk Evaluation Method of Coastal Oil Depots for Heavy Rainfall Vulnerability Assessment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-12, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Adel Mottahedi & Farhang Sereshki & Mohammad Ataei & Ali Nouri Qarahasanlou & Abbas Barabadi, 2021. "The Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems: A Systematic Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-32, March.
    2. Poulin, Craig & Kane, Michael B., 2021. "Infrastructure resilience curves: Performance measures and summary metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    3. Cai, Baoping & Zhang, Yanping & Wang, Haifeng & Liu, Yonghong & Ji, Renjie & Gao, Chuntan & Kong, Xiangdi & Liu, Jing, 2021. "Resilience evaluation methodology of engineering systems with dynamic-Bayesian-network-based degradation and maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    4. Patriarca, Riccardo & De Paolis, Alessandro & Costantino, Francesco & Di Gravio, Giulio, 2021. "Simulation model for simple yet robust resilience assessment metrics for engineered systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    5. Das, Laya & Munikoti, Sai & Natarajan, Balasubramaniam & Srinivasan, Babji, 2020. "Measuring smart grid resilience: Methods, challenges and opportunities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    6. Cai, Baoping & Xie, Min & Liu, Yonghong & Liu, Yiliu & Feng, Qiang, 2018. "Availability-based engineering resilience metric and its corresponding evaluation methodology," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 216-224.
    7. Uday, Payuna & Chandrahasa, Rakshit & Marais, Karen, 2019. "System Importance Measures: Definitions and Application to System-of-Systems Analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    8. Trucco, Paolo & Petrenj, Boris, 2023. "Characterisation of resilience metrics in full-scale applications to interdependent infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    9. Yang, Bofan & Zhang, Lin & Zhang, Bo & Xiang, Yang & An, Lei & Wang, Wenfeng, 2022. "Complex equipment system resilience: Composition, measurement and element analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    10. Mottahedi, Adel & Sereshki, Farhang & Ataei, Mohammad & Qarahasanlou, Ali Nouri & Barabadi, Abbas, 2021. "Resilience estimation of critical infrastructure systems: Application of expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    11. Cheng, Yao & Elsayed, E.A. & Chen, Xi, 2021. "Random Multi Hazard Resilience Modeling of Engineered Systems and Critical Infrastructure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    12. Cassottana, Beatrice & Shen, Lijuan & Tang, Loon Ching, 2019. "Modeling the recovery process: A key dimension of resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1-1.
    13. Caputo, Antonio C. & Kalemi, Bledar & Paolacci, Fabrizio & Corritore, Daniele, 2020. "Computing resilience of process plants under Na-Tech events: Methodology and application to sesmic loading scenarios," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    14. Zhang, Xiaoge & Mahadevan, Sankaran & Sankararaman, Shankar & Goebel, Kai, 2018. "Resilience-based network design under uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 364-379.
    15. Márcio das Chagas Moura & Helder Henrique Lima Diniz & Enrique López Droguett & Beatriz Sales da Cunha & Isis Didier Lins & Vicente Ribeiro Simoni, 2017. "Embedding resilience in the design of the electricity supply for industrial clients," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(11), pages 1-33, November.
    16. Adrian J. Hickford & Simon P. Blainey & Alejandro Ortega Hortelano & Raghav Pant, 2018. "Resilience engineering: theory and practice in interdependent infrastructure systems," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 278-291, September.
    17. Zhao, S. & Liu, X. & Zhuo, Y., 2017. "Hybrid Hidden Markov Models for resilience metrics in a dynamic infrastructure system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 84-97.
    18. Gonçalves, L.A.P.J. & Ribeiro, P.J.G., 2020. "Resilience of urban transportation systems. Concept, characteristics, and methods," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    19. Dui, Hongyan & Zheng, Xiaoqian & Wu, Shaomin, 2021. "Resilience analysis of maritime transportation systems based on importance measures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    20. Cerqueti, Roy & Ferraro, Giovanna & Iovanella, Antonio, 2019. "Measuring network resilience through connection patterns," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 320-329.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:208:y:2021:i:c:s0951832020308577. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.