How well do U.S. consumers predict the direction of change in interest rates?
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- Michael J. Lamla & Lena Draeger & Damjan Pfajfar, 2013.
"Are Consumer Expectations Theory-Consistent? The Role of Macroeconomic Determinants and Central Bank Communication,"
KOF Working papers
13-345, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Lamla, Michael & Dräger, Lena & Pfajfar, Damjan, 2015. "Are Consumer Expectations Theory-Consistent? The Role of Macroeconomic Determinants and Central Bank Communication," Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113170, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar, 2014. "Are Consumer Expectations Theory-Consistent? The Role of Macroeconomic Determinants and Central Bank Communication," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201401, Hamburg University, Department Wirtschaft und Politik.
- Dräger, L. & Lamla, M.J. & Pfajfar, D., 2013. "Are Consumer Expectations Theory-Consistent? The Role of Macroeconomic Determinants and Central Bank Communication," Discussion Paper 2013-063, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Dräger, Lena & Lamla, Michael J. & Pfajfar, Damjan, 2016.
"Are survey expectations theory-consistent? The role of central bank communication and news,"
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- Drager, Lena & Lamla, Michael & Pfajfar, Damjan, 2015. "Are Survey Expectations Theory-Consistent? The Role of Central Bank Communication and News," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-35, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- repec:ebl:ecbull:v:30:y:2010:i:1:p:292-302 is not listed on IDEAS
- Hamid Baghestani, 2010. "Predicting the direction of change in aggregate demand growth and its components," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(1), pages 292-302.
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KeywordsDirectional predictions Michigan survey Mortgage rate Prime rate Economically rational expectations Asymmetric loss function;
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