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Assessing the Soothsayers: An Examination of the Track Record of Macroeconomic Forecasting

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  • Mark R. Greer

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  • Mark R. Greer, 1999. "Assessing the Soothsayers: An Examination of the Track Record of Macroeconomic Forecasting," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 77-94, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:jeciss:v:33:y:1999:i:1:p:77-94
    DOI: 10.1080/00213624.1999.11506136
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    1. Charles M.A. Clark, 1992. "Economic Theory And Natural Philosophy," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 89, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Baghestani, Hamid & Kherfi, Samer, 2008. "How well do U.S. consumers predict the direction of change in interest rates?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(4), pages 725-732, November.
    2. Kenny, Charles & Williams, David, 2001. "What Do We Know About Economic Growth? Or, Why Don't We Know Very Much?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 1-22, January.
    3. Herman O. Stekler & Raj M. Talwar, 2011. "Economic Forecasting in the Great Recession," Working Papers 2011-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    4. Jan Christoph Ruelke & Ralf Fendel & Michael Frenkel, 2011. "Do Professional Forecasters Trust in Taylor-Type Rules? - Evidence from the Wall Street Journal Poll," Post-Print hal-00743770, HAL.
    5. Constantin Burgi, 2016. "What Do We Lose When We Average Expectations?," Working Papers 2016-013, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    6. Audretsch, David B. & Stadtmann, Georg, 2005. "Biases in FX-forecasts: Evidence from panel data," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 99-111, August.
    7. Elliott Middleton, 2001. "'Animal spirits' and expectations in U.S. recession forecasting," Papers nlin/0108012, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2001.
    8. Baghestani, Hamid, 2009. "Forecasting in efficient bond markets: Do experts know better?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 624-630, October.
    9. Mitchell, Karlyn & Pearce, Douglas K., 2007. "Professional forecasts of interest rates and exchange rates: Evidence from the Wall Street Journal's panel of economists," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 840-854, December.

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