IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/matcom/v64y2004i3p467-476.html

Constrained macroeconomic policy development with a separate predictive model

Author

Listed:
  • Herbert, Ric D
  • Bell, Rod D

Abstract

This paper examines the issue of the generation of optimal control policies where there are explicit constraints upon the control values and there is limited knowledge of the complex economic system. The paper develops a methodology where the constrained optimal control is based upon a separate model that predicts the policy targets for the economic system. The methodology as applied to a small calibrated macroeconomic model of Australia.

Suggested Citation

  • Herbert, Ric D & Bell, Rod D, 2004. "Constrained macroeconomic policy development with a separate predictive model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 64(3), pages 467-476.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:64:y:2004:i:3:p:467-476
    DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4754(03)00112-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378475403001125
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/S0378-4754(03)00112-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Orphanides, Athanasios & Wieland, Volker, 2000. "Inflation zone targeting," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(7), pages 1351-1387, June.
    2. Murphy, C W, 1988. "Rational Expectations in Financial Markets and the Murphy Model," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(0), pages 61-88, Supplemen.
    3. Murphy, C W, 1988. "An Overview of the Murphy Model," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(0), pages 175-199, Supplemen.
    4. Neck, Reinhard & Matulka, Josef, 1994. "Stochastic optimum control of macroeconometric models using the algorithm OPTCON," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 384-405, March.
    5. Powell, Alan A., 2000. "From Dornbusch to Murphy: Stylized Monetary Dynamics of a Contemporary Macroeconometric Model," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 99-116, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gareth D Leeves & Ric D Herbert, 2004. "Comparison of Optimal Control Solutions in a Labor Market Model," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 98, Society for Computational Economics.
    2. Zafra-Cabeza, Ascensión & Ridao, Miguel A. & Camacho, Eduardo F., 2008. "Using a risk-based approach to project scheduling: A case illustration from semiconductor manufacturing," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 190(3), pages 708-723, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ric D. Herbert and Rod D. Bell, 2001. "Constrained Optimal Control Under Limited Knowledge," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 14, Society for Computational Economics.
    2. JAMES H. BREECE & KEITH R. McLAREN & CHRISTOPHER W. MURPHY & ALAN A. POWELL, 1994. "Using the Murphy Model to Provide Short‐run Macroeconomic Closure for ORANI," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 70(210), pages 292-314, September.
    3. Parsell, Bruce & Powell, Alan & Wilcoxen, Peter, 1989. "The Reconciliation of Computable General Equilibrium and Macroeconomic Modelling: Grounds for Hope?," Impact Project Archive 295060, Impact Research Centre, University of Melbourne.
    4. C. W. Murphy, 1989. "The Budget Strategy and Foreign Debt," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 22(4), pages 32-51, December.
    5. C. W. Murphy, 1992. "The Macroeconomic Outlook," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 25(2), pages 5-15, April.
    6. Powell, Alan A., 2000. "From Dornbusch to Murphy: Stylized Monetary Dynamics of a Contemporary Macroeconometric Model," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 99-116, January.
    7. Andros Gregoriou & Alexandros Kontonikas, 2006. "Inflation Targeting And The Stationarity Of Inflation: New Results From An Estar Unit Root Test," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(4), pages 309-322, October.
    8. Wiliam Branch & John Carlson & George W. Evans & Bruce McGough, 2006. "Adaptive Learning, Endogenous Inattention, and Changes in Monetary Policy," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2006-6, University of Oregon Economics Department.
    9. Tachibana, Minoru, 2008. "Inflation zone targeting and the Federal Reserve," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 68-84, March.
    10. Funk Peter & Kromen Bettina, 2010. "Inflation and Innovation-Driven Growth," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-52, August.
    11. Beck, Guenter W. & Wieland, Volker, 2008. "Central bank misperceptions and the role of money in interest-rate rules," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(Supplemen), pages 1-17, October.
    12. Michael Arghyrou, 2009. "Monetary policy before and after the euro: evidence from Greece," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 621-643, June.
    13. Christopher Martin & Costas Milas, 2004. "Uncertainty and UK Monetary Policy," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 04-11, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
    14. Ali Al‐Nowaihi & Livio Stracca, 2003. "Behavioural Central Bank Loss Functions, Skewed Risks and Certainty Equivalence," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 71(s1), pages 21-38, September.
    15. Paolo Surico, 2002. "Uncovering Policy Makers' Loss Function," Macroeconomics 0210003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Patrick Minford & Naveen Srinivasan, 2008. "Are Central Bank Preferences Asymmetric? A Comment," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 37(1), pages 119-126, February.
    17. Bofinger, Peter & Mayer, Eric & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2002. "The BMW model: Simple macroeconomics for closed and open economies a requiem for the IS/LM-AS/AD and the Mundell-Fleming model," W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers 35, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics.
    18. Kilian, Lutz & Manganelli, Simone, 2003. "The central bank as a risk manager: quantifying and forecasting inflation risks," Working Paper Series 226, European Central Bank.
    19. Uhlig, Harald, 2000. "Should We Be Afraid of Friedman's Rule?," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 261-303, December.
    20. René Lalonde & Zhenhua Zhu & Frédérick Demers, 2003. "Forecasting and Analyzing World Commodity Prices," Money Affairs, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 1-30, January-J.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:64:y:2004:i:3:p:467-476. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/mathematics-and-computers-in-simulation/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.