IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jetheo/v223y2025ics0022053124001479.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A characterization of the Luce choice rule for an arbitrary collection of menus

Author

Listed:
  • Alós-Ferrer, Carlos
  • Mihm, Maximilian

Abstract

The Luce Choice Rule (or, equivalently, the multinomial logit model) is extensively used in economics and other fields. Classical characterizations rest on Luce's Choice Axiom, when all choice sets are available, and Luce's Product Rule in the case of binary choice. Yet, actual datasets typically consist neither of all choice sets nor all binary choice sets. We provide a characterization for the general case, allowing also for zero choice probabilities. Building upon this characterization, we derive implications for experimental design in terms of three criteria: falsification, identification, and prediction.

Suggested Citation

  • Alós-Ferrer, Carlos & Mihm, Maximilian, 2025. "A characterization of the Luce choice rule for an arbitrary collection of menus," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jetheo:v:223:y:2025:i:c:s0022053124001479
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2024.105941
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022053124001479
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jet.2024.105941?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Drew Fudenberg & Philipp Strack & Tomasz Strzalecki, 2018. "Speed, Accuracy, and the Optimal Timing of Choices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(12), pages 3651-3684, December.
    2. Ahumada, Alonso & Ülkü, Levent, 2018. "Luce rule with limited consideration," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 52-56.
    3. Carlos Alós-Ferrer & Ernst Fehr & Nick Netzer, 2021. "Time Will Tell: Recovering Preferences When Choices Are Noisy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 129(6), pages 1828-1877.
    4. Filip Matêjka & Alisdair McKay, 2015. "Rational Inattention to Discrete Choices: A New Foundation for the Multinomial Logit Model," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(1), pages 272-298, January.
    5. Ahn, David S. & Echenique, Federico & Saito, Kota, 2018. "On path independent stochastic choice," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(1), January.
    6. McKelvey Richard D. & Palfrey Thomas R., 1995. "Quantal Response Equilibria for Normal Form Games," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 6-38, July.
    7. Horan, Sean, 2021. "Stochastic semi-orders," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    8. Jacob Goeree & Charles Holt & Thomas Palfrey, 2005. "Regular Quantal Response Equilibrium," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 8(4), pages 347-367, December.
    9. Carlos Alós-Ferrer & Michele Garagnani, 2024. "Improving Risky-Choice Predictions Using Response Times," Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 2(2), pages 335-354.
    10. Yves Breitmoser, 2021. "An axiomatic foundation of conditional logit," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 72(1), pages 245-261, July.
    11. Matthew Kovach & Gerelt Tserenjigmid, 2022. "Behavioral Foundations of Nested Stochastic Choice and Nested Logit," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 130(9), pages 2411-2461.
    12. Faruk Gul & Paulo Natenzon & Wolfgang Pesendorfer, 2014. "Random Choice as Behavioral Optimization," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 82, pages 1873-1912, September.
    13. WILLIAM J. McCAUSLAND, 2009. "Random Consumer Demand," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 76(301), pages 89-107, February.
    14. Sims, Christopher A., 2003. "Implications of rational inattention," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 665-690, April.
    15. Drew Fudenberg & Tomasz Strzalecki, 2015. "Dynamic Logit With Choice Aversion," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 83, pages 651-691, March.
    16. Matthew Kovach & Gerelt Tserenjigmid, 2022. "The Focal Luce Model," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(3), pages 378-413, August.
    17. Richard Mckelvey & Thomas Palfrey, 1998. "Quantal Response Equilibria for Extensive Form Games," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 1(1), pages 9-41, June.
    18. Hainmueller, Jens & Hopkins, Daniel J. & Yamamoto, Teppei, 2014. "Causal Inference in Conjoint Analysis: Understanding Multidimensional Choices via Stated Preference Experiments," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(1), pages 1-30, January.
    19. Cerreia-Vioglio, Simone & Lindberg, Per Olov & Maccheroni, Fabio & Marinacci, Massimo & Rustichini, Aldo, 2021. "A canon of probabilistic rationality," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    20. Clithero, John A., 2018. "Improving out-of-sample predictions using response times and a model of the decision process," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 344-375.
    21. Faro, José Heleno, 2023. "The Luce model with replicas," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    22. Simone Cerreia-Vioglio & Fabio Maccheroni & Massimo Marinacci & Aldo Rustichini, 2023. "Multinomial Logit Processes and Preference Discovery: Inside and Outside the Black Box," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(3), pages 1155-1194.
    23. Heydari, Pedram, 2021. "Luce arbitrates: Stochastic resolution of inner conflicts," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 33-74.
    24. Echenique, Federico & Saito, Kota & Tserenjigmid, Gerelt, 2018. "The perception-adjusted Luce model," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 67-76.
    25. Gerelt Tserenjigmid, 2021. "The Order-Dependent Luce Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(11), pages 6915-6933, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Daniele Caliari & Henrik Petri, 2025. "The Luce Model, Regularity, and Choice Overload," Papers 2502.21063, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. S. Cerreia-Vioglio & F. Maccheroni & M. Marinacci & A. Rustichini, 2017. "Multinomial logit processes and preference discovery: inside and outside the black box," Working Papers 615, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    2. Simone Cerreia-Vioglio & Fabio Maccheroni & Massimo Marinacci, 2020. "Multinomial logit processes and preference discovery: outside and inside the black box," Working Papers 663, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    3. Duffy, Sean & Gussman, Steven & Smith, John, 2021. "Visual judgments of length in the economics laboratory: Are there brains in stochastic choice?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    4. Duffy, Sean & Smith, John, 2020. "An economist and a psychologist form a line: What can imperfect perception of length tell us about stochastic choice?," MPRA Paper 99417, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Breitmoser, Yves, 2018. "The Axiomatic Foundation of Logit," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 78, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    6. Duarte Gonc{c}alves, 2022. "Sequential Sampling Equilibrium," Papers 2212.07725, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    7. Doğan, Serhat & Yıldız, Kemal, 2021. "Odds supermodularity and the Luce rule," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 443-452.
    8. Faro, José Heleno, 2023. "The Luce model with replicas," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    9. Scharfenaker, Ellis, 2020. "Implications of quantal response statistical equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    10. Benjamin Patrick Evans & Mikhail Prokopenko, 2021. "Bounded rationality for relaxing best response and mutual consistency: The Quantal Hierarchy model of decision-making," Papers 2106.15844, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
    11. Hébert, Benjamin & Woodford, Michael, 2023. "Rational inattention when decisions take time," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    12. Benjamin Patrick Evans & Mikhail Prokopenko, 2021. "A maximum entropy model of bounded rational decision-making with prior beliefs and market feedback," Papers 2102.09180, arXiv.org, revised May 2021.
    13. Cary Frydman & Ian Krajbich, 2022. "Using Response Times to Infer Others’ Private Information: An Application to Information Cascades," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 2970-2986, April.
    14. Roy Allen & John Rehbeck, 2021. "A Generalization of Quantal Response Equilibrium via Perturbed Utility," Games, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-16, March.
    15. James Costain & Anton Nakov, 2019. "Logit Price Dynamics," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(1), pages 43-78, February.
    16. Jakub Steiner & Colin Stewart & Filip Matějka, 2017. "Rational Inattention Dynamics: Inertia and Delay in Decision‐Making," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 521-553, March.
    17. Efe A. Ok & Gerelt Tserenjigmid, 2023. "Measuring Stochastic Rationality," Papers 2303.08202, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    18. Yves Breitmoser, 2021. "Controlling for presentation effects in choice," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(1), pages 251-281, January.
    19. Cerreia-Vioglio, Simone & Lindberg, Per Olov & Maccheroni, Fabio & Marinacci, Massimo & Rustichini, Aldo, 2021. "A canon of probabilistic rationality," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    20. Pavlo R. Blavatskyy, 2024. "Debreu’s choice model," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 96(2), pages 297-310, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Luce choice rule; Multinomial logit model; Stochastic choice; Censored Luce choice rule;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D01 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles
    • D90 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jetheo:v:223:y:2025:i:c:s0022053124001479. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/622869 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.