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Examining the stability and predictors of deterrability across multiple offense types within a sample of convicted felons

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  • Bouffard, Jeff A.
  • Exum, M. Lyn
  • Niebuhr, Nicole

Abstract

Deterrence research finds mixed support for the effect of sanction, potentially due to differences in deterrability across individuals. We assessed differential deterrabilty within a known offender sample (n = 428), and examined consistency in deterrability across multiple offense types: drunk driving, aggravated assault and commercial robbery. Using Pogarsky's (2002) classification method, inmates were categorized as acute conformist, deterrable, or incorrigible for each scenario. These classifications varied by scenario, suggesting little intra-individual consistency across offenses. Regression analyses uncovered little consistency in predictors of deterrability across offense types. Results suggest policies to increase certainty, swiftness and/or severity of formal sanctions will not have uniform deterrent effects, but may have differential impacts across individuals as they contemplate different crimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Bouffard, Jeff A. & Exum, M. Lyn & Niebuhr, Nicole, 2018. "Examining the stability and predictors of deterrability across multiple offense types within a sample of convicted felons," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 76-88.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jcjust:v:57:y:2018:i:c:p:76-88
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2018.04.005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bouffard, Jeffrey A. & Bouffard, Leana A., 2011. "What works (or doesn't) in a DUI court? An example of expedited case processing," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 320-328, July.
    2. Vazsonyi, Alexander T. & Mikuška, Jakub & Kelley, Erin L., 2017. "It's time: A meta-analysis on the self-control-deviance link," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 48-63.
    3. Eric Helland & Alexander Tabarrok, 2007. "Does Three Strikes Deter?: A Nonparametric Estimation," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 42(2).
    4. Bouffard, Jeffrey A., 2002. "The influence of emotion on rational decision making in sexual aggression," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 121-134.
    5. Evans, William N. & Owens, Emily G., 2007. "COPS and crime," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(1-2), pages 181-201, February.
    6. Exum, M. Lyn & Bailey, Diana & Wright, Eric L., 2014. "False positive and false negative rates in self-reported intentions to offend: A replication and extension," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 1-9.
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    Cited by:

    1. Altikriti, Sultan & Nedelec, Joseph L. & Barnes, J.C., 2022. "The influence of individual differences on the formation of perceptions of risk, social cost, and rewards of crime: A meta-analysis," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Vieraitis, Lynne M. & DeShay, Rashaan A., 2025. "“I knew if I did that, they'd catch me again”: Changes in deterrability over the criminal career," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).

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