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Reoffending among serious juvenile offenders: A developmental perspective

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  • Ozkan, Turgut

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of individual differences on time to reoffend in a sample of serious adolescent offenders. Specifically, the developmental factors that can influence reoffending time were analyzed using self-reported offenses through different types of survival models. Also, proportional hazards condition assumption was explored through the use of discrete-time intervals and various survival frameworks. In order to obtain a broader perspective, repeated-failure models were provided due to their potential to reflect overall criminality that extends over time. Results show that future orientation and temperance were the key developmental factors in reoffending time, while the proportional hazard assumption was more realistic in repeated-failure models constructed through a discrete-time scale.

Suggested Citation

  • Ozkan, Turgut, 2016. "Reoffending among serious juvenile offenders: A developmental perspective," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 18-31.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jcjust:v:46:y:2016:i:c:p:18-31
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2016.02.017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Herman J. Bierens & Jose R. Carvalho, 2007. "Semi-nonparametric competing risks analysis of recidivism," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(5), pages 971-993.
    2. Lu Han & Siddhartha Bandyopadhyay & Samrat Bhattacharya, 2013. "Determinants of violent and property crimes in England and Wales: a panel data analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(34), pages 4820-4830, December.
    3. Collins, Rachael E., 2010. "The effect of gender on violent and nonviolent recidivism: A meta-analysis," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 675-684, July.
    4. Mario Cleves & William W. Gould & Roberto G. Gutierrez & Yulia Marchenko, 2010. "An Introduction to Survival Analysis Using Stata," Stata Press books, StataCorp LLC, edition 3, number saus3, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Cuevas, Celina & Wolff, Kevin T. & Baglivio, Michael T., 2019. "Dynamic risk factors and timing of recidivism for youth in residential placement," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 154-166.
    2. T. Wing Lo & Christopher H. K. Cheng, 2018. "Predicting Effects of the Self and Contextual Factors on Violence: A Comparison between School Students and Youth Offenders in Macau," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-17, February.
    3. Lee, Wanhee & Noh, Keeyoon & Lee, Seung Hyun & Lee, Chang-Bae, 2019. "Responsibility and recidivism: An event history analysis of South Korean juvenile cases," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 154-162.
    4. Cihan, Abdullah & Sorensen, Jonathan & Chism, Kimberly A., 2017. "Analyzing the offending activity of inmates: Trajectories of offense seriousness, escalation, and de-escalation," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 12-18.

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